Trader consensus around mid-October for the next Gemini Pro release reflects ongoing delays to Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally slated for June after its May I/O teaser and later pushed into July for additional testing and feedback integration on agentic capabilities and long-horizon tasks. Google has instead shipped iterative Flash variants, including 3.8 models in early September, while rivals advance frontier large language models. The near-even split with “no release by November 1” captures uncertainty over whether internal refinements or competitive positioning will trigger a launch window soon, with no confirmed dates or major announcements shifting timelines in the past month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhen will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 1 24%
October 12–October 18 21%
September 28–October 4 13.9%
October 26–November 1 12.0%
$46,380 Обс.
$46,380 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
September 7–September 13
3%
September 14–September 20
4%
September 21–September 27
7%
September 28–October 4
14%
October 5–October 11
22%
October 12–October 18
30%
October 19–October 25
10%
October 26–November 1
16%
No release by November 1
24%
No release by November 1 24%
October 12–October 18 21%
September 28–October 4 13.9%
October 26–November 1 12.0%
$46,380 Обс.
$46,380 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
September 7–September 13
$1,381 Обс.
3%
September 14–September 20
$412 Обс.
4%
September 21–September 27
$549 Обс.
7%
September 28–October 4
$619 Обс.
14%
October 5–October 11
$413 Обс.
22%
October 12–October 18
$2,507 Обс.
30%
October 19–October 25
$438 Обс.
10%
October 26–November 1
$558 Обс.
16%
No release by November 1
$38,210 Обс.
24%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus around mid-October for the next Gemini Pro release reflects ongoing delays to Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally slated for June after its May I/O teaser and later pushed into July for additional testing and feedback integration on agentic capabilities and long-horizon tasks. Google has instead shipped iterative Flash variants, including 3.8 models in early September, while rivals advance frontier large language models. The near-even split with “no release by November 1” captures uncertainty over whether internal refinements or competitive positioning will trigger a launch window soon, with no confirmed dates or major announcements shifting timelines in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$46,380Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus around mid-October for the next Gemini Pro release reflects ongoing delays to Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally slated for June after its May I/O teaser and later pushed into July for additional testing and feedback integration on agentic capabilities and long-horizon tasks. Google has instead shipped iterative Flash variants, including 3.8 models in early September, while rivals advance frontier large language models. The near-even split with “no release by November 1” captures uncertainty over whether internal refinements or competitive positioning will trigger a launch window soon, with no confirmed dates or major announcements shifting timelines in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$46,380Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around mid-October for the next Gemini Pro release reflects ongoing delays to Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally slated for June after its May I/O teaser and later pushed into July for additional testing and feedback integration on agentic capabilities and long-horizon tasks. Google has instead shipped iterative Flash variants, including 3.8 models in early September, while rivals advance frontier large language models. The near-even split with “no release by November 1” captures uncertainty over whether internal refinements or competitive positioning will trigger a launch window soon, with no confirmed dates or major announcements shifting timelines in the past month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання