Netanyahu's firm commitment to leading Likud and consolidating right-wing support ahead of the October 27 Knesset election underpins the near-certain trader view that he will not drop out. Recent developments, including his public statements on security threats from Iran and Hamas, efforts to secure surplus-vote agreements with smaller parties, and direct challenges to opposition figures like Gadi Eisenkot, show sustained engagement rather than retreat. Polling volatility and Oct. 7 accountability debates have not prompted any withdrawal signals from the prime minister or his coalition partners. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden health concerns, major legal rulings in ongoing cases, or an unforeseen escalation in regional conflicts that alters his political calculus before election day.