Debbie Dingell's incumbency and Michigan's 6th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean drive trader consensus around her 95.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat, centered on Washtenaw County and Ann Arbor with portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, carries a D+12 partisan voting index and delivered Dingell a 62% share against the same Republican opponent in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 4 primaries, leaving limited campaign activity to shift fundamentals. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a major national political realignment, a significant late-breaking development involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in suburban or manufacturing areas.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-06 House Election Winner
MI-06 House Election Winner
$51,051 Обс.
$51,051 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Debbie Dingell (D)
96%
Heather Smiley (R)
<1%
$51,051 Обс.
$51,051 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Debbie Dingell (D)
$24,038 Обс.
96%
Heather Smiley (R)
$27,013 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Debbie Dingell's incumbency and Michigan's 6th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean drive trader consensus around her 95.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat, centered on Washtenaw County and Ann Arbor with portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, carries a D+12 partisan voting index and delivered Dingell a 62% share against the same Republican opponent in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 4 primaries, leaving limited campaign activity to shift fundamentals. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a major national political realignment, a significant late-breaking development involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in suburban or manufacturing areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$51,051Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Debbie Dingell's incumbency and Michigan's 6th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean drive trader consensus around her 95.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat, centered on Washtenaw County and Ann Arbor with portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, carries a D+12 partisan voting index and delivered Dingell a 62% share against the same Republican opponent in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 4 primaries, leaving limited campaign activity to shift fundamentals. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a major national political realignment, a significant late-breaking development involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in suburban or manufacturing areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$51,051Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Debbie Dingell's incumbency and Michigan's 6th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean drive trader consensus around her 95.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat, centered on Washtenaw County and Ann Arbor with portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, carries a D+12 partisan voting index and delivered Dingell a 62% share against the same Republican opponent in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 4 primaries, leaving limited campaign activity to shift fundamentals. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a major national political realignment, a significant late-breaking development involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in suburban or manufacturing areas.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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