Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Michigan’s 4th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s R+3 partisan voter index and his established base in southwestern Michigan communities including Kalamazoo and Holland. Both candidates cleared their August 4 primaries by wide margins, with Huizenga at 85% and McCann at 67%, clearing the path for a November 3 general election matchup also featuring Green Party nominee Shafina Barnett. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican, citing Huizenga’s prior victories and fundraising lead. McCann, a term-limited state senator, has highlighted fundraising gains, an early internal poll lead, and policy contrasts on affordability and ethics rules, though the district’s voting patterns and independent voter trends continue to anchor expectations around the incumbent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-04 House Election Winner
MI-04 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Bill Huizenga (R)
56%
Sean McCann (D)
43%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Bill Huizenga (R)
$3,388 Обс.
56%
Sean McCann (D)
$4,437 Обс.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Michigan’s 4th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s R+3 partisan voter index and his established base in southwestern Michigan communities including Kalamazoo and Holland. Both candidates cleared their August 4 primaries by wide margins, with Huizenga at 85% and McCann at 67%, clearing the path for a November 3 general election matchup also featuring Green Party nominee Shafina Barnett. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican, citing Huizenga’s prior victories and fundraising lead. McCann, a term-limited state senator, has highlighted fundraising gains, an early internal poll lead, and policy contrasts on affordability and ethics rules, though the district’s voting patterns and independent voter trends continue to anchor expectations around the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,825Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Michigan’s 4th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s R+3 partisan voter index and his established base in southwestern Michigan communities including Kalamazoo and Holland. Both candidates cleared their August 4 primaries by wide margins, with Huizenga at 85% and McCann at 67%, clearing the path for a November 3 general election matchup also featuring Green Party nominee Shafina Barnett. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican, citing Huizenga’s prior victories and fundraising lead. McCann, a term-limited state senator, has highlighted fundraising gains, an early internal poll lead, and policy contrasts on affordability and ethics rules, though the district’s voting patterns and independent voter trends continue to anchor expectations around the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$7,825Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Michigan’s 4th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s R+3 partisan voter index and his established base in southwestern Michigan communities including Kalamazoo and Holland. Both candidates cleared their August 4 primaries by wide margins, with Huizenga at 85% and McCann at 67%, clearing the path for a November 3 general election matchup also featuring Green Party nominee Shafina Barnett. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican, citing Huizenga’s prior victories and fundraising lead. McCann, a term-limited state senator, has highlighted fundraising gains, an early internal poll lead, and policy contrasts on affordability and ethics rules, though the district’s voting patterns and independent voter trends continue to anchor expectations around the incumbent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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