South Korea’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 shields sitting President Lee Jae-myung from criminal prosecution and arrest in pending cases involving election-law violations, Daejang-dong development allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances, suspending all trials since his June 2025 inauguration. Democratic Party-led efforts to pursue special-counsel review or legislative dismissal of prior indictments, alongside police rejection of new complaints for insufficient evidence, reinforce procedural barriers through late 2026. These protections, combined with Lee’s active exercise of executive authority and recent appointments, underpin trader consensus that detention before 2027 faces steep institutional hurdles absent removal from office or major unforeseen legal reversals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
8% шанс
$548,061 Обс.
$548,061 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
8% шанс
$548,061 Обс.
$548,061 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 shields sitting President Lee Jae-myung from criminal prosecution and arrest in pending cases involving election-law violations, Daejang-dong development allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances, suspending all trials since his June 2025 inauguration. Democratic Party-led efforts to pursue special-counsel review or legislative dismissal of prior indictments, alongside police rejection of new complaints for insufficient evidence, reinforce procedural barriers through late 2026. These protections, combined with Lee’s active exercise of executive authority and recent appointments, underpin trader consensus that detention before 2027 faces steep institutional hurdles absent removal from office or major unforeseen legal reversals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$548,061Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 shields sitting President Lee Jae-myung from criminal prosecution and arrest in pending cases involving election-law violations, Daejang-dong development allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances, suspending all trials since his June 2025 inauguration. Democratic Party-led efforts to pursue special-counsel review or legislative dismissal of prior indictments, alongside police rejection of new complaints for insufficient evidence, reinforce procedural barriers through late 2026. These protections, combined with Lee’s active exercise of executive authority and recent appointments, underpin trader consensus that detention before 2027 faces steep institutional hurdles absent removal from office or major unforeseen legal reversals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$548,061Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 shields sitting President Lee Jae-myung from criminal prosecution and arrest in pending cases involving election-law violations, Daejang-dong development allegations, and Ssangbangwool remittances, suspending all trials since his June 2025 inauguration. Democratic Party-led efforts to pursue special-counsel review or legislative dismissal of prior indictments, alongside police rejection of new complaints for insufficient evidence, reinforce procedural barriers through late 2026. These protections, combined with Lee’s active exercise of executive authority and recent appointments, underpin trader consensus that detention before 2027 faces steep institutional hurdles absent removal from office or major unforeseen legal reversals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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