Ongoing legal scrutiny of former U.S. intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, alongside health policy figures like Anthony Fauci and activist Mahmoud Khalil, shapes trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent catalysts include Fauci’s July 2026 Senate testimony invoking the Fifth Amendment repeatedly on COVID-19 matters and court developments around Khalil’s prior ICE detention that could enable further enforcement or deportation proceedings. Broader factors encompass federal fraud and corruption investigations, ICE operations targeting networks, and select international cases such as those involving Lee Jae-myung in South Korea or ongoing Israeli proceedings. Low individual probabilities reflect high procedural barriers, including indictment thresholds, statutes of limitations, and institutional protections, with resolution tied to any qualifying arrest or detention by December 31, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$411,955 Обс.
Anthony Fauci
9%
John Brennan
22%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
11%
Adam Schiff
2%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
21%
James Clapper
11%
Letitia James
9%
Hillary Clinton
2%
Bill Clinton
1%
Loretta Lynch
8%
Susan Rice
8%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
1%
Pam Bondi
2%
Tom Homan
5%
Kash Patel
1%
Brandon Johnson
11%
Lisa Cook
4%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
1%
$411,955 Обс.
Anthony Fauci
$164,421 Обс.
9%
John Brennan
$22,244 Обс.
22%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$23,455 Обс.
11%
Adam Schiff
$16,570 Обс.
2%
Barack Obama
$29,276 Обс.
2%
James Comey
$10,821 Обс.
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,329 Обс.
21%
James Clapper
$7,264 Обс.
11%
Letitia James
$3,047 Обс.
9%
Hillary Clinton
$26,182 Обс.
2%
Bill Clinton
$2,726 Обс.
1%
Loretta Lynch
$2,411 Обс.
8%
Susan Rice
$304 Обс.
8%
Candace Owens
$268 Обс.
7%
Gavin Newsom
$39,425 Обс.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,936 Обс.
5%
John Kerry
$503 Обс.
1%
Pam Bondi
$2,189 Обс.
2%
Tom Homan
$41,331 Обс.
5%
Kash Patel
$598 Обс.
1%
Brandon Johnson
$3,290 Обс.
11%
Lisa Cook
$4,005 Обс.
4%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 Обс.
11%
Joe Biden
$7,565 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing legal scrutiny of former U.S. intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, alongside health policy figures like Anthony Fauci and activist Mahmoud Khalil, shapes trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent catalysts include Fauci’s July 2026 Senate testimony invoking the Fifth Amendment repeatedly on COVID-19 matters and court developments around Khalil’s prior ICE detention that could enable further enforcement or deportation proceedings. Broader factors encompass federal fraud and corruption investigations, ICE operations targeting networks, and select international cases such as those involving Lee Jae-myung in South Korea or ongoing Israeli proceedings. Low individual probabilities reflect high procedural barriers, including indictment thresholds, statutes of limitations, and institutional protections, with resolution tied to any qualifying arrest or detention by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$411,955Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing legal scrutiny of former U.S. intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, alongside health policy figures like Anthony Fauci and activist Mahmoud Khalil, shapes trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent catalysts include Fauci’s July 2026 Senate testimony invoking the Fifth Amendment repeatedly on COVID-19 matters and court developments around Khalil’s prior ICE detention that could enable further enforcement or deportation proceedings. Broader factors encompass federal fraud and corruption investigations, ICE operations targeting networks, and select international cases such as those involving Lee Jae-myung in South Korea or ongoing Israeli proceedings. Low individual probabilities reflect high procedural barriers, including indictment thresholds, statutes of limitations, and institutional protections, with resolution tied to any qualifying arrest or detention by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$411,955Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Ongoing legal scrutiny of former U.S. intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, alongside health policy figures like Anthony Fauci and activist Mahmoud Khalil, shapes trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent catalysts include Fauci’s July 2026 Senate testimony invoking the Fifth Amendment repeatedly on COVID-19 matters and court developments around Khalil’s prior ICE detention that could enable further enforcement or deportation proceedings. Broader factors encompass federal fraud and corruption investigations, ICE operations targeting networks, and select international cases such as those involving Lee Jae-myung in South Korea or ongoing Israeli proceedings. Low individual probabilities reflect high procedural barriers, including indictment thresholds, statutes of limitations, and institutional protections, with resolution tied to any qualifying arrest or detention by December 31, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання