Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district. The seat carries a pronounced Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit victory margins and nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Scalise benefits from substantial fundraising, an endorsement from President Trump, and limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington, while Democratic candidate Lauren Jewett faces structural barriers in a district spanning Jefferson Parish suburbs and the Northshore. The November 3 open primary under Louisiana’s majority-vote system is expected to advance a Republican to any December runoff. Late developments such as candidate health issues or unforeseen turnout shifts remain the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLA-01 House Election Winner
LA-01 House Election Winner
$52,223 Обс.
$52,223 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
5%
$52,223 Обс.
$52,223 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,399 Обс.
96%
Democratic Party
$29,823 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district. The seat carries a pronounced Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit victory margins and nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Scalise benefits from substantial fundraising, an endorsement from President Trump, and limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington, while Democratic candidate Lauren Jewett faces structural barriers in a district spanning Jefferson Parish suburbs and the Northshore. The November 3 open primary under Louisiana’s majority-vote system is expected to advance a Republican to any December runoff. Late developments such as candidate health issues or unforeseen turnout shifts remain the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$52,223Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district. The seat carries a pronounced Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit victory margins and nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Scalise benefits from substantial fundraising, an endorsement from President Trump, and limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington, while Democratic candidate Lauren Jewett faces structural barriers in a district spanning Jefferson Parish suburbs and the Northshore. The November 3 open primary under Louisiana’s majority-vote system is expected to advance a Republican to any December runoff. Late developments such as candidate health issues or unforeseen turnout shifts remain the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$52,223Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district. The seat carries a pronounced Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit victory margins and nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Scalise benefits from substantial fundraising, an endorsement from President Trump, and limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington, while Democratic candidate Lauren Jewett faces structural barriers in a district spanning Jefferson Parish suburbs and the Northshore. The November 3 open primary under Louisiana’s majority-vote system is expected to advance a Republican to any December runoff. Late developments such as candidate health issues or unforeseen turnout shifts remain the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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