Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s R+23 partisan voter index and consistent Republican margins above 20 points create a steep structural barrier for Democrats. Crawford, first elected in 2010 and now serving as House Intelligence Committee chair, advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green raised under $70,000 through mid-2026 and faces a Libertarian opponent as well. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Crawford reflects these entrenched advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments capable of narrowing the gap. Only an unforeseen national surge or late-breaking event would realistically alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAR-01 House Election Winner
AR-01 House Election Winner
$26,840 Обс.
$26,840 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Crawford (R)
97%
Terri Green (D)
1%
$26,840 Обс.
$26,840 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Crawford (R)
$16,491 Обс.
97%
Terri Green (D)
$10,349 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s R+23 partisan voter index and consistent Republican margins above 20 points create a steep structural barrier for Democrats. Crawford, first elected in 2010 and now serving as House Intelligence Committee chair, advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green raised under $70,000 through mid-2026 and faces a Libertarian opponent as well. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Crawford reflects these entrenched advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments capable of narrowing the gap. Only an unforeseen national surge or late-breaking event would realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$26,840Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s R+23 partisan voter index and consistent Republican margins above 20 points create a steep structural barrier for Democrats. Crawford, first elected in 2010 and now serving as House Intelligence Committee chair, advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green raised under $70,000 through mid-2026 and faces a Libertarian opponent as well. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Crawford reflects these entrenched advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments capable of narrowing the gap. Only an unforeseen national surge or late-breaking event would realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,840Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s R+23 partisan voter index and consistent Republican margins above 20 points create a steep structural barrier for Democrats. Crawford, first elected in 2010 and now serving as House Intelligence Committee chair, advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green raised under $70,000 through mid-2026 and faces a Libertarian opponent as well. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Crawford reflects these entrenched advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments capable of narrowing the gap. Only an unforeseen national surge or late-breaking event would realistically alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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