SpaceX's sustained Falcon 9 cadence, exceeding 107 launches by late September 2026 with the majority dedicated to Starlink deployments, anchors trader consensus around 140-159 total missions for the year. Reusable booster turnaround times and high launch frequency from Vandenberg and Cape Canaveral have sustained roughly three flights per week, building on 2025's record of 165 while Starship transitions from test flights (13 completed, Flight 14 imminent) to operational V3 satellite deployments. This pace projects toward 145-155 total launches if current rates hold, with model consensus favoring incremental Starship additions over major disruptions. Key upcoming factors include Starship cadence milestones and any regulatory or technical constraints on Florida operations.