**Comprehensive planetary defense monitoring by NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies and ESA’s NEO Coordination Centre has identified no catalogued near-Earth objects on trajectories capable of producing a 100-kiloton or greater atmospheric airburst in 2026.** Risk lists show only distant, low-probability entries (mostly 2030s onward) involving small bodies, while recent detections such as the sub-meter 2026 RW1 confirm that objects large enough for 100 kt yields would likely be flagged well in advance by optical and infrared surveys. Historical bolide data from the NASA JPL repository indicate such events occur roughly once every 15–20 years on average, placing the background annualized rate near 5 percent and the remaining 2026 window even lower. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent “No” reflects this absence of threats plus the statistical rarity. The main realistic uncertainty remains an undetected small asteroid or long-period comet fragment discovered only hours before impact, though objects energetic enough for 100 kt are statistically unlikely to evade current surveys entirely.