Recent model consensus from sources such as GFS points to clear skies, southeasterly flow, and light winds over Paris on September 25, favoring a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C as the dominant outcome. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities led by 28 °C (50.5 %) and 29 °C (28.5 %), reflecting trader assessment of limited cloud cover and modest warm advection ahead of a modest cool-down on subsequent days. Historical climatology places the September 25 average high near 20 °C with an all-time record of 26.5 °C, underscoring how the current pattern exceeds norms yet remains below extreme thresholds. Updated forecast runs and any late shifts in high-pressure positioning will be the key variables to monitor before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on September 25?
28°C 55%
29°C 29%
27°C 13%
26°C 3%
$36,178 Обс.
$36,178 Обс.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
13%
28°C
55%
29°C
29%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 55%
29°C 29%
27°C 13%
26°C 3%
$36,178 Обс.
$36,178 Обс.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
13%
28°C
55%
29°C
29%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Recent model consensus from sources such as GFS points to clear skies, southeasterly flow, and light winds over Paris on September 25, favoring a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C as the dominant outcome. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities led by 28 °C (50.5 %) and 29 °C (28.5 %), reflecting trader assessment of limited cloud cover and modest warm advection ahead of a modest cool-down on subsequent days. Historical climatology places the September 25 average high near 20 °C with an all-time record of 26.5 °C, underscoring how the current pattern exceeds norms yet remains below extreme thresholds. Updated forecast runs and any late shifts in high-pressure positioning will be the key variables to monitor before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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