**Northeast winds off Lake Michigan and persistent cloud cover are keeping Chicago temperatures below late-September climatological norms today.** Official National Weather Service guidance calls for a high near 68°F under partly sunny skies with east-northeast winds around 10 mph, limiting afternoon warming despite the seasonal average high of roughly 73°F. Early-morning observations near 62°F and model consensus showing modest mixing support the market's heavy weighting toward 68-69°F (49.5% implied probability) and 70-71°F (33%). Lower-probability bins around 66-67°F reflect residual uncertainty in cloud timing and exact wind strength, while warmer outcomes above 72°F remain unlikely without a shift in steering flow. Updated NWS and mesonet data through the morning continue to anchor trader expectations around the official 68°F forecast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on September 24?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 24?
68-69°F 44%
70-71°F 28%
66-67°F 19%
72-73°F 6%
$14,766 Обс.
$14,766 Обс.
Sep 24, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
44%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 44%
70-71°F 28%
66-67°F 19%
72-73°F 6%
$14,766 Обс.
$14,766 Обс.
Sep 24, 2026
57°F or below
$15 Обс.
<1%
58-59°F
$95 Обс.
<1%
60-61°F
$296 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$694 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,124 Обс.
3%
66-67°F
$3,057 Обс.
19%
68-69°F
$4,773 Обс.
44%
70-71°F
$2,340 Обс.
28%
72-73°F
$1,380 Обс.
6%
74-75°F
$685 Обс.
<1%
76°F or higher
$307 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeast winds off Lake Michigan and persistent cloud cover are keeping Chicago temperatures below late-September climatological norms today.** Official National Weather Service guidance calls for a high near 68°F under partly sunny skies with east-northeast winds around 10 mph, limiting afternoon warming despite the seasonal average high of roughly 73°F. Early-morning observations near 62°F and model consensus showing modest mixing support the market's heavy weighting toward 68-69°F (49.5% implied probability) and 70-71°F (33%). Lower-probability bins around 66-67°F reflect residual uncertainty in cloud timing and exact wind strength, while warmer outcomes above 72°F remain unlikely without a shift in steering flow. Updated NWS and mesonet data through the morning continue to anchor trader expectations around the official 68°F forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,766Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeast winds off Lake Michigan and persistent cloud cover are keeping Chicago temperatures below late-September climatological norms today.** Official National Weather Service guidance calls for a high near 68°F under partly sunny skies with east-northeast winds around 10 mph, limiting afternoon warming despite the seasonal average high of roughly 73°F. Early-morning observations near 62°F and model consensus showing modest mixing support the market's heavy weighting toward 68-69°F (49.5% implied probability) and 70-71°F (33%). Lower-probability bins around 66-67°F reflect residual uncertainty in cloud timing and exact wind strength, while warmer outcomes above 72°F remain unlikely without a shift in steering flow. Updated NWS and mesonet data through the morning continue to anchor trader expectations around the official 68°F forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$14,766Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...**Northeast winds off Lake Michigan and persistent cloud cover are keeping Chicago temperatures below late-September climatological norms today.** Official National Weather Service guidance calls for a high near 68°F under partly sunny skies with east-northeast winds around 10 mph, limiting afternoon warming despite the seasonal average high of roughly 73°F. Early-morning observations near 62°F and model consensus showing modest mixing support the market's heavy weighting toward 68-69°F (49.5% implied probability) and 70-71°F (33%). Lower-probability bins around 66-67°F reflect residual uncertainty in cloud timing and exact wind strength, while warmer outcomes above 72°F remain unlikely without a shift in steering flow. Updated NWS and mesonet data through the morning continue to anchor trader expectations around the official 68°F forecast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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