**Market-implied odds reflect a strong scientific consensus that Paris reached a daily maximum of 22°C on September 18, 2026.** Official forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and GFS model runs projected a peak of 22°C during the afternoon under a stable anticyclonic regime, with light westerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and no precipitation. Morning lows near 12–14°C rose steadily to this high, consistent with observed evening readings around 18–19°C and the September climatological average high of roughly 21°C. Multiple independent meteorological services converged on the same value, reinforcing trader confidence. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day model revisions, station-specific measurement differences, or an unanticipated warm advection event—none of which materialized in the latest data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on September 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 18?
22°C 100%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,382 Обс.
$78,382 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,382 Обс.
$78,382 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
$1,607 Обс.
No
18°C
$754 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,523 Обс.
No
20°C
$14,506 Обс.
No
21°C
$16,656 Обс.
No
22°C
$15,019 Обс.
Yes
23°C
$14,913 Обс.
No
24°C
$8,914 Обс.
No
25°C
$1,459 Обс.
No
26°C
$783 Обс.
No
27°C or higher
$1,247 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds reflect a strong scientific consensus that Paris reached a daily maximum of 22°C on September 18, 2026.** Official forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and GFS model runs projected a peak of 22°C during the afternoon under a stable anticyclonic regime, with light westerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and no precipitation. Morning lows near 12–14°C rose steadily to this high, consistent with observed evening readings around 18–19°C and the September climatological average high of roughly 21°C. Multiple independent meteorological services converged on the same value, reinforcing trader confidence.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day model revisions, station-specific measurement differences, or an unanticipated warm advection event—none of which materialized in the latest data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$78,382Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds reflect a strong scientific consensus that Paris reached a daily maximum of 22°C on September 18, 2026.** Official forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and GFS model runs projected a peak of 22°C during the afternoon under a stable anticyclonic regime, with light westerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and no precipitation. Morning lows near 12–14°C rose steadily to this high, consistent with observed evening readings around 18–19°C and the September climatological average high of roughly 21°C. Multiple independent meteorological services converged on the same value, reinforcing trader confidence.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day model revisions, station-specific measurement differences, or an unanticipated warm advection event—none of which materialized in the latest data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$78,382Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Market-implied odds reflect a strong scientific consensus that Paris reached a daily maximum of 22°C on September 18, 2026.** Official forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and GFS model runs projected a peak of 22°C during the afternoon under a stable anticyclonic regime, with light westerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and no precipitation. Morning lows near 12–14°C rose steadily to this high, consistent with observed evening readings around 18–19°C and the September climatological average high of roughly 21°C. Multiple independent meteorological services converged on the same value, reinforcing trader confidence. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day model revisions, station-specific measurement differences, or an unanticipated warm advection event—none of which materialized in the latest data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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