**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C high in Qingdao today, with 98% implied probability, driven by consistent forecasts from meteorological models showing a maximum near that level under mostly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds.** Official guidance indicates daytime temperatures rising to around 25–26°C before any late-day cooling or light precipitation develops, aligning with typical late-September climatology for the coastal city where average September highs reach 26°C. Model runs show limited variability, with no strong warming mechanisms such as clear-sky solar heating or warm advection expected to push readings higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted break in cloud cover or a shift in steering patterns allowing greater insolation, though current observations and short-range guidance make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 24?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 24?
26°C 98%
27°C 2%
29°C <1%
28°C <1%
$31,018 Обс.
$31,018 Обс.
Sep 24, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
98%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 98%
27°C 2%
29°C <1%
28°C <1%
$31,018 Обс.
$31,018 Обс.
Sep 24, 2026
22°C or below
$525 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$831 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$3,611 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$7,322 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$7,318 Обс.
98%
27°C
$3,377 Обс.
2%
28°C
$3,355 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$1,981 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,160 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$1,291 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$246 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C high in Qingdao today, with 98% implied probability, driven by consistent forecasts from meteorological models showing a maximum near that level under mostly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds.** Official guidance indicates daytime temperatures rising to around 25–26°C before any late-day cooling or light precipitation develops, aligning with typical late-September climatology for the coastal city where average September highs reach 26°C. Model runs show limited variability, with no strong warming mechanisms such as clear-sky solar heating or warm advection expected to push readings higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted break in cloud cover or a shift in steering patterns allowing greater insolation, though current observations and short-range guidance make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,018Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C high in Qingdao today, with 98% implied probability, driven by consistent forecasts from meteorological models showing a maximum near that level under mostly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds.** Official guidance indicates daytime temperatures rising to around 25–26°C before any late-day cooling or light precipitation develops, aligning with typical late-September climatology for the coastal city where average September highs reach 26°C. Model runs show limited variability, with no strong warming mechanisms such as clear-sky solar heating or warm advection expected to push readings higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted break in cloud cover or a shift in steering patterns allowing greater insolation, though current observations and short-range guidance make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$31,018Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C high in Qingdao today, with 98% implied probability, driven by consistent forecasts from meteorological models showing a maximum near that level under mostly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds.** Official guidance indicates daytime temperatures rising to around 25–26°C before any late-day cooling or light precipitation develops, aligning with typical late-September climatology for the coastal city where average September highs reach 26°C. Model runs show limited variability, with no strong warming mechanisms such as clear-sky solar heating or warm advection expected to push readings higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted break in cloud cover or a shift in steering patterns allowing greater insolation, though current observations and short-range guidance make significant deviations unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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