Skip to main content

Щоб торгувати в США, перейдіть на polymarket.us

icon for Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

icon for Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$96,744 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$96,744 Обс.

Polymarket

55%+

$21,733 Обс.

89%

60%+

$42,078 Обс.

51%

65%+

$27,768 Обс.

21%

70%+

$3,859 Обс.

7%

75%+

$1,306 Обс.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s rapid release of advanced Claude variants, including Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, has driven current trader sentiment by establishing clear leadership on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question benchmark of graduate-level problems across math, sciences, and humanities designed to resist saturation. Recent September 2026 leaderboards show these models achieving 59–65% accuracy depending on evaluation conditions such as tool use and reasoning effort, outpacing GPT-6 Astra, Gemini variants, and others by several points. Iterative gains stem from enhanced reasoning architectures, tool integration, and adaptive prompting, with top Claude scores clustering tightly and suggesting the benchmark is approaching frontier limits. Key upcoming catalysts include additional Anthropic model drops before year-end, potential tool-augmented or multi-agent evaluations, and any independent verifications that could shift the highest recorded Claude score. Traders monitor these releases closely as they directly influence whether thresholds like 60%+ or 65%+ are cleared by December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Обсяг
$96,744
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://agi.safe.ai/

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s rapid release of advanced Claude variants, including Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, has driven current trader sentiment by establishing clear leadership on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question benchmark of graduate-level problems across math, sciences, and humanities designed to resist saturation. Recent September 2026 leaderboards show these models achieving 59–65% accuracy depending on evaluation conditions such as tool use and reasoning effort, outpacing GPT-6 Astra, Gemini variants, and others by several points. Iterative gains stem from enhanced reasoning architectures, tool integration, and adaptive prompting, with top Claude scores clustering tightly and suggesting the benchmark is approaching frontier limits. Key upcoming catalysts include additional Anthropic model drops before year-end, potential tool-augmented or multi-agent evaluations, and any independent verifications that could shift the highest recorded Claude score. Traders monitor these releases closely as they directly influence whether thresholds like 60%+ or 65%+ are cleared by December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Обсяг
$96,744
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://agi.safe.ai/

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «55%+» з 89%, далі «60%+» з 51%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?» згенерував $96.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 23, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?» — «55%+» з 89%. Наступний — «60%+» з 51%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.