Florida’s 11th congressional district, encompassing parts of Sumter, Lake, and Orange counties including The Villages retiree community, carries an R+7 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 60.4% win for retiring incumbent Daniel Webster in 2024. The August 18, 2026 primaries produced Republican nominee Joe Strada, a self-funded businessman who narrowly defeated several rivals with substantial fundraising and endorsements, and Democratic nominee James Pericola, who prevailed in a lower-profile contest. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, and trader pricing reflects the structural advantages of the district’s voting patterns, limited Democratic resources, and absence of competitive polling or late developments that could alter the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-11 House Election Winner
$19,692 Обс.
$19,692 Обс.
Joe Strada (R)
83%
James Pericola (D)
15%
$19,692 Обс.
$19,692 Обс.
Joe Strada (R)
83%
James Pericola (D)
15%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 11th congressional district, encompassing parts of Sumter, Lake, and Orange counties including The Villages retiree community, carries an R+7 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 60.4% win for retiring incumbent Daniel Webster in 2024. The August 18, 2026 primaries produced Republican nominee Joe Strada, a self-funded businessman who narrowly defeated several rivals with substantial fundraising and endorsements, and Democratic nominee James Pericola, who prevailed in a lower-profile contest. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, and trader pricing reflects the structural advantages of the district’s voting patterns, limited Democratic resources, and absence of competitive polling or late developments that could alter the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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