The September 18 by-election in Samoa’s Falealili 1 constituency follows the Court of Appeal’s June ruling that voided the prior FAST MP’s 2025 victory on bribery grounds, creating an open contest. FAST fielded multiple nominees while HRPP selected Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko; several independents also registered. With more than a dozen candidates splitting the electorate and no dominant frontrunner emerging in the final weeks, trader probabilities remain tightly clustered near 30 percent for the leaders. The single-day vote offers limited time for late momentum shifts, though strong local turnout or party coordination could still separate the top contenders before official results are certified.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAuseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 39.5%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 24%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 11%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen 8.2%
$22,922 Обс.
$22,922 Обс.

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
40%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
24%

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
11%

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
25%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
7%

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
5%

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
4%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 39.5%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 24%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 11%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen 8.2%
$22,922 Обс.
$22,922 Обс.

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
40%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
24%

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
11%

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
25%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
7%

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
5%

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The September 18 by-election in Samoa’s Falealili 1 constituency follows the Court of Appeal’s June ruling that voided the prior FAST MP’s 2025 victory on bribery grounds, creating an open contest. FAST fielded multiple nominees while HRPP selected Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko; several independents also registered. With more than a dozen candidates splitting the electorate and no dominant frontrunner emerging in the final weeks, trader probabilities remain tightly clustered near 30 percent for the leaders. The single-day vote offers limited time for late momentum shifts, though strong local turnout or party coordination could still separate the top contenders before official results are certified.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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