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icon for California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

icon for California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

64% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
64% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Democratic leaders, including Governor Gavin Newsom and Assemblymember Jesse Gabriel, secured the required two-thirds legislative approval in late June 2026 for the Save for California’s Future Act, placing the constitutional amendment on the November ballot. The measure would raise the Budget Stabilization Account cap from 10% to 20% of general fund tax revenue, boost mandatory deposits during high capital gains years, protect K-12 funding, and expand options for paying down liabilities such as unemployment insurance debt. Republicans opposed the changes, citing structural deficits and concerns that expanded reserves could enable greater future spending rather than taxpayer relief. With roughly seven weeks until the election and California’s Democratic voter base, trader pricing reflects broad support tempered by fiscal skepticism and potential turnout dynamics.

Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Обсяг
$834
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 6:30 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Democratic leaders, including Governor Gavin Newsom and Assemblymember Jesse Gabriel, secured the required two-thirds legislative approval in late June 2026 for the Save for California’s Future Act, placing the constitutional amendment on the November ballot. The measure would raise the Budget Stabilization Account cap from 10% to 20% of general fund tax revenue, boost mandatory deposits during high capital gains years, protect K-12 funding, and expand options for paying down liabilities such as unemployment insurance debt. Republicans opposed the changes, citing structural deficits and concerns that expanded reserves could enable greater future spending rather than taxpayer relief. With roughly seven weeks until the election and California’s Democratic voter base, trader pricing reflects broad support tempered by fiscal skepticism and potential turnout dynamics.

Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Обсяг
$834
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 6:30 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«California Rainy Day Fund Proposition» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 68% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 68¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 68%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«California Rainy Day Fund Proposition» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 1, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «California Rainy Day Fund Proposition», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «California Rainy Day Fund Proposition» — 68% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 68% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «California Rainy Day Fund Proposition» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.