Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama’s 1st Congressional District with roughly 75 percent of the vote in the August 11, 2026 special primary, defeating Austin Sidwell and other challengers after earlier map litigation and a Supreme Court ruling preserved the legislature’s Republican-leaning boundaries. The district’s strong partisan lean, reflected in prior GOP margins exceeding 70 percent, combined with Carl’s prior service representing the area, Trump endorsement, and substantial fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus around his general-election prospects against Democrat Clyde Jones. Jones advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary but maintains limited visibility and resources. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or national midterm wave altering turnout patterns before the November 3 contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAL-01 House Election Winner
AL-01 House Election Winner
$47,789 Обс.
$47,789 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
2%
$47,789 Обс.
$47,789 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
$21,382 Обс.
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
$26,406 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama’s 1st Congressional District with roughly 75 percent of the vote in the August 11, 2026 special primary, defeating Austin Sidwell and other challengers after earlier map litigation and a Supreme Court ruling preserved the legislature’s Republican-leaning boundaries. The district’s strong partisan lean, reflected in prior GOP margins exceeding 70 percent, combined with Carl’s prior service representing the area, Trump endorsement, and substantial fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus around his general-election prospects against Democrat Clyde Jones. Jones advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary but maintains limited visibility and resources. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or national midterm wave altering turnout patterns before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Обсяг
$47,789Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama’s 1st Congressional District with roughly 75 percent of the vote in the August 11, 2026 special primary, defeating Austin Sidwell and other challengers after earlier map litigation and a Supreme Court ruling preserved the legislature’s Republican-leaning boundaries. The district’s strong partisan lean, reflected in prior GOP margins exceeding 70 percent, combined with Carl’s prior service representing the area, Trump endorsement, and substantial fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus around his general-election prospects against Democrat Clyde Jones. Jones advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary but maintains limited visibility and resources. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or national midterm wave altering turnout patterns before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$47,789Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama’s 1st Congressional District with roughly 75 percent of the vote in the August 11, 2026 special primary, defeating Austin Sidwell and other challengers after earlier map litigation and a Supreme Court ruling preserved the legislature’s Republican-leaning boundaries. The district’s strong partisan lean, reflected in prior GOP margins exceeding 70 percent, combined with Carl’s prior service representing the area, Trump endorsement, and substantial fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus around his general-election prospects against Democrat Clyde Jones. Jones advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary but maintains limited visibility and resources. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or national midterm wave altering turnout patterns before the November 3 contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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