Redistricting following a Supreme Court decision has shifted Alabama’s 2nd District toward a Republican lean, giving nominee Rhett Marques a structural edge over Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures. Marques secured the GOP nomination in the August special primary with strong support from President Trump and Sen. Katie Britt, and recently earned the National Federation of Independent Business endorsement while emphasizing tax relief and deregulation. Figures benefits from incumbency and Democratic polling showing a potential tie, but faces a narrower path in the revised map with its higher Republican voting index. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, pricing in Marques’ advantage ahead of the November general election while leaving room for turnout and campaign developments to influence the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$43,491 Обс.
$43,491 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Rhett Marques (R)
68%
Shomari Figures (D)
33%
$43,491 Обс.
$43,491 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Rhett Marques (R)
$20,650 Обс.
68%
Shomari Figures (D)
$22,842 Обс.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following a Supreme Court decision has shifted Alabama’s 2nd District toward a Republican lean, giving nominee Rhett Marques a structural edge over Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures. Marques secured the GOP nomination in the August special primary with strong support from President Trump and Sen. Katie Britt, and recently earned the National Federation of Independent Business endorsement while emphasizing tax relief and deregulation. Figures benefits from incumbency and Democratic polling showing a potential tie, but faces a narrower path in the revised map with its higher Republican voting index. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, pricing in Marques’ advantage ahead of the November general election while leaving room for turnout and campaign developments to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$43,491Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following a Supreme Court decision has shifted Alabama’s 2nd District toward a Republican lean, giving nominee Rhett Marques a structural edge over Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures. Marques secured the GOP nomination in the August special primary with strong support from President Trump and Sen. Katie Britt, and recently earned the National Federation of Independent Business endorsement while emphasizing tax relief and deregulation. Figures benefits from incumbency and Democratic polling showing a potential tie, but faces a narrower path in the revised map with its higher Republican voting index. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, pricing in Marques’ advantage ahead of the November general election while leaving room for turnout and campaign developments to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$43,491Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting following a Supreme Court decision has shifted Alabama’s 2nd District toward a Republican lean, giving nominee Rhett Marques a structural edge over Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures. Marques secured the GOP nomination in the August special primary with strong support from President Trump and Sen. Katie Britt, and recently earned the National Federation of Independent Business endorsement while emphasizing tax relief and deregulation. Figures benefits from incumbency and Democratic polling showing a potential tie, but faces a narrower path in the revised map with its higher Republican voting index. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, pricing in Marques’ advantage ahead of the November general election while leaving room for turnout and campaign developments to influence the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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