**Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi remains actively engaged in diplomacy without any reported legal actions or domestic moves against him.** As of September 23, 2026, he is participating in the UN General Assembly in New York, holding bilateral meetings on topics including the Strait of Hormuz, regional security, and US-Iran economic tensions. Iranian state media and international coverage portray him in his official capacity, with no indications of investigations, charges, or internal power struggles targeting him for arrest in the immediate term. Trader consensus at 99% against arrest by September 28 reflects this absence of catalysts, the short five-day window, and Araghchi’s established position within the Iranian government. Realistic shifts remain improbable but could theoretically involve abrupt internal regime decisions or unforeseen escalations, though no such developments appear on the horizon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAbbas Araghchi arrested by September 28?
Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28?
<1% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 28, 2026
<1% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abbas Araghchi is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Araghchi is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi remains actively engaged in diplomacy without any reported legal actions or domestic moves against him.** As of September 23, 2026, he is participating in the UN General Assembly in New York, holding bilateral meetings on topics including the Strait of Hormuz, regional security, and US-Iran economic tensions. Iranian state media and international coverage portray him in his official capacity, with no indications of investigations, charges, or internal power struggles targeting him for arrest in the immediate term.
Trader consensus at 99% against arrest by September 28 reflects this absence of catalysts, the short five-day window, and Araghchi’s established position within the Iranian government. Realistic shifts remain improbable but could theoretically involve abrupt internal regime decisions or unforeseen escalations, though no such developments appear on the horizon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abbas Araghchi is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Araghchi is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Araghchi is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Обсяг
$794Дата завершення
Sep 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 5:06 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abbas Araghchi is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Araghchi is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi remains actively engaged in diplomacy without any reported legal actions or domestic moves against him.** As of September 23, 2026, he is participating in the UN General Assembly in New York, holding bilateral meetings on topics including the Strait of Hormuz, regional security, and US-Iran economic tensions. Iranian state media and international coverage portray him in his official capacity, with no indications of investigations, charges, or internal power struggles targeting him for arrest in the immediate term.
Trader consensus at 99% against arrest by September 28 reflects this absence of catalysts, the short five-day window, and Araghchi’s established position within the Iranian government. Realistic shifts remain improbable but could theoretically involve abrupt internal regime decisions or unforeseen escalations, though no such developments appear on the horizon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abbas Araghchi is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Araghchi is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Araghchi is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$794Дата завершення
Sep 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 5:06 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi remains actively engaged in diplomacy without any reported legal actions or domestic moves against him.** As of September 23, 2026, he is participating in the UN General Assembly in New York, holding bilateral meetings on topics including the Strait of Hormuz, regional security, and US-Iran economic tensions. Iranian state media and international coverage portray him in his official capacity, with no indications of investigations, charges, or internal power struggles targeting him for arrest in the immediate term. Trader consensus at 99% against arrest by September 28 reflects this absence of catalysts, the short five-day window, and Araghchi’s established position within the Iranian government. Realistic shifts remain improbable but could theoretically involve abrupt internal regime decisions or unforeseen escalations, though no such developments appear on the horizon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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