Recent August CPI data showing a 0.4% monthly headline increase and 0.3% core rise, alongside 3.4% year-over-year headline and elevated energy components including 27.4% higher gasoline prices, anchor trader expectations for the September monthly print near 0.5% or 0.4%. Persistent oil price pressures, broader service-sector inflation, and upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts have shifted market-implied odds toward these outcomes, reflecting concerns that disinflation has stalled amid tariff effects and supply constraints. With the Federal Reserve widely anticipated to hike rates at its mid-September meeting and the September CPI release scheduled for October 14, these factors sustain the current pricing distribution while leaving room for moderation if energy costs ease.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update0.5% 38%
0.4% 25%
0.6% 22%
0.7% 12%
$11,053 Vol.
$11,053 Vol.
≤0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
3%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
25%
0.5%
38%
0.6%
22%
0.7%
12%
≥0.8%
7%
0.5% 38%
0.4% 25%
0.6% 22%
0.7% 12%
$11,053 Vol.
$11,053 Vol.
≤0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
3%
0.3%
4%
0.4%
25%
0.5%
38%
0.6%
22%
0.7%
12%
≥0.8%
7%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data showing a 0.4% monthly headline increase and 0.3% core rise, alongside 3.4% year-over-year headline and elevated energy components including 27.4% higher gasoline prices, anchor trader expectations for the September monthly print near 0.5% or 0.4%. Persistent oil price pressures, broader service-sector inflation, and upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts have shifted market-implied odds toward these outcomes, reflecting concerns that disinflation has stalled amid tariff effects and supply constraints. With the Federal Reserve widely anticipated to hike rates at its mid-September meeting and the September CPI release scheduled for October 14, these factors sustain the current pricing distribution while leaving room for moderation if energy costs ease.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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