Recent August CPI data, released September 11 and showing headline inflation steady at 3.4% year-over-year with a hotter-than-expected 0.3% core monthly gain, has anchored trader expectations for the September annual print near 3.4–3.6%. Elevated gasoline prices, up nearly 4% in August amid higher oil costs, contributed significantly to the monthly headline rise and have lifted one-year consumer inflation expectations to 4.6%. The Cleveland Fed’s September nowcast stands at 3.43%, while professional forecasters project 2026 headline CPI averaging around 3.5%. Markets price in an 85–90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the imminent September FOMC meeting, reflecting limited disinflation progress. The closely bunched Polymarket odds around 3.5% highlight uncertainty over whether energy-driven pressures will persist or moderate into the next reading.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update3.5% 32%
3.6% 24%
3.4% 20%
3.7% 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.9%
4%
3.0%
5%
3.1%
6%
3.2%
6%
3.3%
5%
3.4%
20%
3.5%
32%
3.6%
24%
3.7%
9%
3.8%
6%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
5%
3.5% 32%
3.6% 24%
3.4% 20%
3.7% 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 14, 2026
≤2.9%
$82 Vol.
4%
3.0%
$67 Vol.
5%
3.1%
$64 Vol.
6%
3.2%
$87 Vol.
6%
3.3%
$345 Vol.
5%
3.4%
$374 Vol.
20%
3.5%
$1,009 Vol.
32%
3.6%
$491 Vol.
24%
3.7%
$286 Vol.
9%
3.8%
$27 Vol.
6%
3.9%
$187 Vol.
1%
≥4.0%
$82 Vol.
5%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data, released September 11 and showing headline inflation steady at 3.4% year-over-year with a hotter-than-expected 0.3% core monthly gain, has anchored trader expectations for the September annual print near 3.4–3.6%. Elevated gasoline prices, up nearly 4% in August amid higher oil costs, contributed significantly to the monthly headline rise and have lifted one-year consumer inflation expectations to 4.6%. The Cleveland Fed’s September nowcast stands at 3.43%, while professional forecasters project 2026 headline CPI averaging around 3.5%. Markets price in an 85–90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the imminent September FOMC meeting, reflecting limited disinflation progress. The closely bunched Polymarket odds around 3.5% highlight uncertainty over whether energy-driven pressures will persist or moderate into the next reading.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Volume
$3,103Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data, released September 11 and showing headline inflation steady at 3.4% year-over-year with a hotter-than-expected 0.3% core monthly gain, has anchored trader expectations for the September annual print near 3.4–3.6%. Elevated gasoline prices, up nearly 4% in August amid higher oil costs, contributed significantly to the monthly headline rise and have lifted one-year consumer inflation expectations to 4.6%. The Cleveland Fed’s September nowcast stands at 3.43%, while professional forecasters project 2026 headline CPI averaging around 3.5%. Markets price in an 85–90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the imminent September FOMC meeting, reflecting limited disinflation progress. The closely bunched Polymarket odds around 3.5% highlight uncertainty over whether energy-driven pressures will persist or moderate into the next reading.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$3,103Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data, released September 11 and showing headline inflation steady at 3.4% year-over-year with a hotter-than-expected 0.3% core monthly gain, has anchored trader expectations for the September annual print near 3.4–3.6%. Elevated gasoline prices, up nearly 4% in August amid higher oil costs, contributed significantly to the monthly headline rise and have lifted one-year consumer inflation expectations to 4.6%. The Cleveland Fed’s September nowcast stands at 3.43%, while professional forecasters project 2026 headline CPI averaging around 3.5%. Markets price in an 85–90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the imminent September FOMC meeting, reflecting limited disinflation progress. The closely bunched Polymarket odds around 3.5% highlight uncertainty over whether energy-driven pressures will persist or moderate into the next reading.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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