Mexico's annual inflation for 2026 trades with the 4.00-4.49% band as the clear leader at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting recent monthly readings that eased to 3.12% in July before ticking up to 3.26% in August. Core inflation remains sticky near 3.9%, driven by services prices, while non-core components have provided temporary relief. Banxico has held its policy rate at 6.50% since May, maintaining a restrictive stance aligned with above-target expectations and labor market conditions. Analysts project year-end 2026 headline inflation near 4.0%, consistent with market pricing, ahead of the next data release and September policy decision.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update4.00% to 4.49% 38%
3.00% to 3.49% 20.7%
3.50% to 3.99% 18.0%
4.50% to 4.99% 9%
$67,351 Vol.
$67,351 Vol.
Jan 7, 2027
<2.50%
6%
2.50% to 2.99%
6%
3.00% to 3.49%
21%
3.50% to 3.99%
20%
4.00% to 4.49%
38%
4.50% to 4.99%
9%
5.00% to 5.49%
4%
5.50%+
2%
4.00% to 4.49% 38%
3.00% to 3.49% 20.7%
3.50% to 3.99% 18.0%
4.50% to 4.99% 9%
$67,351 Vol.
$67,351 Vol.
Jan 7, 2027
<2.50%
$1,195 Vol.
6%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,895 Vol.
6%
3.00% to 3.49%
$29,128 Vol.
21%
3.50% to 3.99%
$4,269 Vol.
20%
4.00% to 4.49%
$13,991 Vol.
38%
4.50% to 4.99%
$4,980 Vol.
9%
5.00% to 5.49%
$2,577 Vol.
4%
5.50%+
$6,318 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioMexico's annual inflation for 2026 trades with the 4.00-4.49% band as the clear leader at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting recent monthly readings that eased to 3.12% in July before ticking up to 3.26% in August. Core inflation remains sticky near 3.9%, driven by services prices, while non-core components have provided temporary relief. Banxico has held its policy rate at 6.50% since May, maintaining a restrictive stance aligned with above-target expectations and labor market conditions. Analysts project year-end 2026 headline inflation near 4.0%, consistent with market pricing, ahead of the next data release and September policy decision.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$67,351Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 8, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioMexico's annual inflation for 2026 trades with the 4.00-4.49% band as the clear leader at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting recent monthly readings that eased to 3.12% in July before ticking up to 3.26% in August. Core inflation remains sticky near 3.9%, driven by services prices, while non-core components have provided temporary relief. Banxico has held its policy rate at 6.50% since May, maintaining a restrictive stance aligned with above-target expectations and labor market conditions. Analysts project year-end 2026 headline inflation near 4.0%, consistent with market pricing, ahead of the next data release and September policy decision.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Volume
$67,351Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 8, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mexico's annual inflation for 2026 trades with the 4.00-4.49% band as the clear leader at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting recent monthly readings that eased to 3.12% in July before ticking up to 3.26% in August. Core inflation remains sticky near 3.9%, driven by services prices, while non-core components have provided temporary relief. Banxico has held its policy rate at 6.50% since May, maintaining a restrictive stance aligned with above-target expectations and labor market conditions. Analysts project year-end 2026 headline inflation near 4.0%, consistent with market pricing, ahead of the next data release and September policy decision.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong