Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight minimum in Warsaw near 10–11°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 15–16°C. Atlantic air-mass advection maintains mild conditions typical for late September, while variable humidity and pressure around 1016 hPa influence exact cooling rates. The tight 50% split between 10°C and 11°C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of the daily minimum and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, with lower probabilities assigned to sub-9°C outcomes due to the absence of strong high-pressure clearing or northerly flow that would enhance cooling. Updated observations through the evening will refine these market-implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 21?
11°C 50%
6°C or below 47%
9°C 37%
7°C 17%
6°C or below
47%
7°C
17%
8°C
9%
9°C
37%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 50%
6°C or below 47%
9°C 37%
7°C 17%
6°C or below
47%
7°C
17%
8°C
9%
9°C
37%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight minimum in Warsaw near 10–11°C on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs of 15–16°C. Atlantic air-mass advection maintains mild conditions typical for late September, while variable humidity and pressure around 1016 hPa influence exact cooling rates. The tight 50% split between 10°C and 11°C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of the daily minimum and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, with lower probabilities assigned to sub-9°C outcomes due to the absence of strong high-pressure clearing or northerly flow that would enhance cooling. Updated observations through the evening will refine these market-implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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