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icon for Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

icon for Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

6% tsansa
Polymarket

$21,770 Vol.

6% tsansa
Polymarket

$21,770 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a 161-seat majority in South Korea’s 300-member National Assembly, while the main opposition People Power Party controls 110 seats. Impeachment requires a two-thirds supermajority of 200 votes, a threshold that cannot be reached without substantial defections from the ruling party that have not occurred. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment advanced to committee review after surpassing 100,000 signatures but stalled due to the ruling bloc’s numbers. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 38 percent amid concerns over housing policy, personnel decisions, and the economy, yet these pressures have produced no legislative coalition or scheduled votes capable of advancing a motion before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Suspended pre-inauguration legal cases and the short remaining timeline further limit near-term removal prospects.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$21,770
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a 161-seat majority in South Korea’s 300-member National Assembly, while the main opposition People Power Party controls 110 seats. Impeachment requires a two-thirds supermajority of 200 votes, a threshold that cannot be reached without substantial defections from the ruling party that have not occurred. A June 2026 citizen petition for impeachment advanced to committee review after surpassing 100,000 signatures but stalled due to the ruling bloc’s numbers. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 38 percent amid concerns over housing policy, personnel decisions, and the economy, yet these pressures have produced no legislative coalition or scheduled votes capable of advancing a motion before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Suspended pre-inauguration legal cases and the short remaining timeline further limit near-term removal prospects.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$21,770
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 6% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 6¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 6% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $21.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 5, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?" ay 6% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 6% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.