Recent polls for Israel's October 27 Knesset election project Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, at seven seats—roughly 5.8% of the vote—down from 11 seats in 2022. Multiple surveys from early September show consistent results amid a fragmented field, with the party competing for Mizrahi Haredi voters against Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and new centrist lists. Slate finalization on September 8 introduced limited changes, including a reserve officer in a viable spot, while debates over Haredi military enlistment and rabbinical guidance continue to test base loyalty. Trader odds reflect this uncertainty, with no dominant outcome as turnout, late alliances, and bloc realignments could shift Shas's share in either direction before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update<6% 52%
9%+ 38%
8-9% 33%
6-7% 32%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
<6%
52%
6-7%
32%
7-8%
28%
8-9%
33%
9%+
38%
<6% 52%
9%+ 38%
8-9% 33%
6-7% 32%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
<6%
$19 Vol.
52%
6-7%
$0 Vol.
32%
7-8%
$0 Vol.
28%
8-9%
$0 Vol.
33%
9%+
$0 Vol.
38%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls for Israel's October 27 Knesset election project Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, at seven seats—roughly 5.8% of the vote—down from 11 seats in 2022. Multiple surveys from early September show consistent results amid a fragmented field, with the party competing for Mizrahi Haredi voters against Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and new centrist lists. Slate finalization on September 8 introduced limited changes, including a reserve officer in a viable spot, while debates over Haredi military enlistment and rabbinical guidance continue to test base loyalty. Trader odds reflect this uncertainty, with no dominant outcome as turnout, late alliances, and bloc realignments could shift Shas's share in either direction before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Volume
$19Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls for Israel's October 27 Knesset election project Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, at seven seats—roughly 5.8% of the vote—down from 11 seats in 2022. Multiple surveys from early September show consistent results amid a fragmented field, with the party competing for Mizrahi Haredi voters against Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and new centrist lists. Slate finalization on September 8 introduced limited changes, including a reserve officer in a viable spot, while debates over Haredi military enlistment and rabbinical guidance continue to test base loyalty. Trader odds reflect this uncertainty, with no dominant outcome as turnout, late alliances, and bloc realignments could shift Shas's share in either direction before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Shas party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Shas's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Shas passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$19Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Israel's October 27 Knesset election project Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, at seven seats—roughly 5.8% of the vote—down from 11 seats in 2022. Multiple surveys from early September show consistent results amid a fragmented field, with the party competing for Mizrahi Haredi voters against Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and new centrist lists. Slate finalization on September 8 introduced limited changes, including a reserve officer in a viable spot, while debates over Haredi military enlistment and rabbinical guidance continue to test base loyalty. Trader odds reflect this uncertainty, with no dominant outcome as turnout, late alliances, and bloc realignments could shift Shas's share in either direction before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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