Iran’s political landscape features sharp internal divisions between hardline factions tied to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and security apparatus and more moderate officials, fueled by Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s prolonged public absence since his March 2026 appointment following his father’s death in a February strike. Hardliners publicly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and allies of a “soft coup” in July 2026, claiming they sidelined the supreme leader, elevated the Supreme National Security Council, and pursued U.S. negotiations against revolutionary principles. Recent September reports detail hardliners, including figures like Hossein Taeb, authorizing unauthorized attacks on ships that derailed a U.S. truce and strengthened their influence amid renewed U.S.-Iran naval clashes and tanker strikes. These factional tensions and leadership opacity shape trader assessments of potential coup-related outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateIran coup attempt by...?
Iran coup attempt by...?
$2,134,704 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
8%
$2,134,704 Vol.
December 31
$93,478 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s political landscape features sharp internal divisions between hardline factions tied to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and security apparatus and more moderate officials, fueled by Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s prolonged public absence since his March 2026 appointment following his father’s death in a February strike. Hardliners publicly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and allies of a “soft coup” in July 2026, claiming they sidelined the supreme leader, elevated the Supreme National Security Council, and pursued U.S. negotiations against revolutionary principles. Recent September reports detail hardliners, including figures like Hossein Taeb, authorizing unauthorized attacks on ships that derailed a U.S. truce and strengthened their influence amid renewed U.S.-Iran naval clashes and tanker strikes. These factional tensions and leadership opacity shape trader assessments of potential coup-related outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Volume
$2,134,704Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s political landscape features sharp internal divisions between hardline factions tied to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and security apparatus and more moderate officials, fueled by Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s prolonged public absence since his March 2026 appointment following his father’s death in a February strike. Hardliners publicly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and allies of a “soft coup” in July 2026, claiming they sidelined the supreme leader, elevated the Supreme National Security Council, and pursued U.S. negotiations against revolutionary principles. Recent September reports detail hardliners, including figures like Hossein Taeb, authorizing unauthorized attacks on ships that derailed a U.S. truce and strengthened their influence amid renewed U.S.-Iran naval clashes and tanker strikes. These factional tensions and leadership opacity shape trader assessments of potential coup-related outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,134,704Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s political landscape features sharp internal divisions between hardline factions tied to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and security apparatus and more moderate officials, fueled by Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s prolonged public absence since his March 2026 appointment following his father’s death in a February strike. Hardliners publicly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and allies of a “soft coup” in July 2026, claiming they sidelined the supreme leader, elevated the Supreme National Security Council, and pursued U.S. negotiations against revolutionary principles. Recent September reports detail hardliners, including figures like Hossein Taeb, authorizing unauthorized attacks on ships that derailed a U.S. truce and strengthened their influence amid renewed U.S.-Iran naval clashes and tanker strikes. These factional tensions and leadership opacity shape trader assessments of potential coup-related outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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