Russia's ruling structures have shown sustained cohesion through 2026, with Vladimir Putin's United Russia securing a decisive parliamentary majority in the September elections amid tightly managed voting. Heightened personal security protocols, expanded Federal Protective Service roles, and loyalty among siloviki networks have contained elite frictions reported earlier in the year. No coordinated military or factional challenge has materialized since the 2023 Prigozhin events, and recent Ukrainian strikes on Russian territory have not triggered internal unrest. With only three months remaining, trader consensus reflects the absence of verifiable triggers for a coup attempt, though abrupt shifts in battlefield outcomes, leadership health, or security service alignments could still alter assessments before year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateRussia coup attempt in 2026?
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
5% tsansa
$132,539 Vol.
$132,539 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
5% tsansa
$132,539 Vol.
$132,539 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's ruling structures have shown sustained cohesion through 2026, with Vladimir Putin's United Russia securing a decisive parliamentary majority in the September elections amid tightly managed voting. Heightened personal security protocols, expanded Federal Protective Service roles, and loyalty among siloviki networks have contained elite frictions reported earlier in the year. No coordinated military or factional challenge has materialized since the 2023 Prigozhin events, and recent Ukrainian strikes on Russian territory have not triggered internal unrest. With only three months remaining, trader consensus reflects the absence of verifiable triggers for a coup attempt, though abrupt shifts in battlefield outcomes, leadership health, or security service alignments could still alter assessments before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$132,539Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's ruling structures have shown sustained cohesion through 2026, with Vladimir Putin's United Russia securing a decisive parliamentary majority in the September elections amid tightly managed voting. Heightened personal security protocols, expanded Federal Protective Service roles, and loyalty among siloviki networks have contained elite frictions reported earlier in the year. No coordinated military or factional challenge has materialized since the 2023 Prigozhin events, and recent Ukrainian strikes on Russian territory have not triggered internal unrest. With only three months remaining, trader consensus reflects the absence of verifiable triggers for a coup attempt, though abrupt shifts in battlefield outcomes, leadership health, or security service alignments could still alter assessments before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$132,539Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's ruling structures have shown sustained cohesion through 2026, with Vladimir Putin's United Russia securing a decisive parliamentary majority in the September elections amid tightly managed voting. Heightened personal security protocols, expanded Federal Protective Service roles, and loyalty among siloviki networks have contained elite frictions reported earlier in the year. No coordinated military or factional challenge has materialized since the 2023 Prigozhin events, and recent Ukrainian strikes on Russian territory have not triggered internal unrest. With only three months remaining, trader consensus reflects the absence of verifiable triggers for a coup attempt, though abrupt shifts in battlefield outcomes, leadership health, or security service alignments could still alter assessments before year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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