Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs and national services, indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 22 likely between 15–17°C under northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, scattered showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 16°C (42.5%) and 17°C (38.0%), as ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in peak insolation and the timing of any brief clearing. Cooler maritime air advection and autumnal baseline conditions near the September average of 16–18°C support this narrow range, with lower-probability outcomes (15°C or 18°C) hinging on revisions in precipitation intensity or boundary-layer mixing in the next model cycles.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 22?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 22?
16°C 43%
17°C 38%
15°C 16%
18°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 22, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
16%
16°C
43%
17°C
38%
18°C
7%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 43%
17°C 38%
15°C 16%
18°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 22, 2026
11°C or below
$146 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$272 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$85 Vol.
2%
14°C
$218 Vol.
2%
15°C
$1,458 Vol.
16%
16°C
$546 Vol.
43%
17°C
$2,476 Vol.
38%
18°C
$481 Vol.
7%
19°C
$227 Vol.
1%
20°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs and national services, indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 22 likely between 15–17°C under northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, scattered showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 16°C (42.5%) and 17°C (38.0%), as ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in peak insolation and the timing of any brief clearing. Cooler maritime air advection and autumnal baseline conditions near the September average of 16–18°C support this narrow range, with lower-probability outcomes (15°C or 18°C) hinging on revisions in precipitation intensity or boundary-layer mixing in the next model cycles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,170Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs and national services, indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 22 likely between 15–17°C under northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, scattered showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 16°C (42.5%) and 17°C (38.0%), as ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in peak insolation and the timing of any brief clearing. Cooler maritime air advection and autumnal baseline conditions near the September average of 16–18°C support this narrow range, with lower-probability outcomes (15°C or 18°C) hinging on revisions in precipitation intensity or boundary-layer mixing in the next model cycles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,170Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs and national services, indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 22 likely between 15–17°C under northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, scattered showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 16°C (42.5%) and 17°C (38.0%), as ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in peak insolation and the timing of any brief clearing. Cooler maritime air advection and autumnal baseline conditions near the September average of 16–18°C support this narrow range, with lower-probability outcomes (15°C or 18°C) hinging on revisions in precipitation intensity or boundary-layer mixing in the next model cycles.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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