Recent late-August and early-September 2026 polls show Renato Casagrande (PSB) holding a clear lead for first place in Espírito Santo’s Senate contest, leaving a fragmented field for second among Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante). High undecided shares, blank or null ballots, and the requirement that each voter select two names have preserved this equilibrium, with no candidate breaking decisively from the pack in the latest surveys. The absence of major endorsements, coalition realignments, or campaign-defining moments since the surveys has kept implied probabilities for second place closely bunched. Scheduled debates, final-week polling, or late coalition signals before the October 4 vote could consolidate support and widen gaps among the contenders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSergio Meneguelli 37%
Fabiano Contarato 31.3%
Rose de Freitas 16.6%
Maguinha Malta 12.6%
$39,910 Vol.
$39,910 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
37%
Fabiano Contarato
31%
Rose de Freitas
17%
Maguinha Malta
13%
Renato Casagrande
5%
Evair de Melo
3%
Callegari
<1%
Leonardo Monjardim
<1%
Marcos do Val
<1%
Professor Fabian
<1%
Rodney Miranda
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli 37%
Fabiano Contarato 31.3%
Rose de Freitas 16.6%
Maguinha Malta 12.6%
$39,910 Vol.
$39,910 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
$21,449 Vol.
37%
Fabiano Contarato
$7,037 Vol.
31%
Rose de Freitas
$4,618 Vol.
17%
Maguinha Malta
$1,517 Vol.
13%
Renato Casagrande
$1,086 Vol.
5%
Evair de Melo
$1,275 Vol.
3%
Callegari
$798 Vol.
<1%
Leonardo Monjardim
$666 Vol.
<1%
Marcos do Val
$627 Vol.
<1%
Professor Fabian
$422 Vol.
<1%
Rodney Miranda
$414 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent late-August and early-September 2026 polls show Renato Casagrande (PSB) holding a clear lead for first place in Espírito Santo’s Senate contest, leaving a fragmented field for second among Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante). High undecided shares, blank or null ballots, and the requirement that each voter select two names have preserved this equilibrium, with no candidate breaking decisively from the pack in the latest surveys. The absence of major endorsements, coalition realignments, or campaign-defining moments since the surveys has kept implied probabilities for second place closely bunched. Scheduled debates, final-week polling, or late coalition signals before the October 4 vote could consolidate support and widen gaps among the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Volume
$39,910Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent late-August and early-September 2026 polls show Renato Casagrande (PSB) holding a clear lead for first place in Espírito Santo’s Senate contest, leaving a fragmented field for second among Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante). High undecided shares, blank or null ballots, and the requirement that each voter select two names have preserved this equilibrium, with no candidate breaking decisively from the pack in the latest surveys. The absence of major endorsements, coalition realignments, or campaign-defining moments since the surveys has kept implied probabilities for second place closely bunched. Scheduled debates, final-week polling, or late coalition signals before the October 4 vote could consolidate support and widen gaps among the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$39,910Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent late-August and early-September 2026 polls show Renato Casagrande (PSB) holding a clear lead for first place in Espírito Santo’s Senate contest, leaving a fragmented field for second among Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante). High undecided shares, blank or null ballots, and the requirement that each voter select two names have preserved this equilibrium, with no candidate breaking decisively from the pack in the latest surveys. The absence of major endorsements, coalition realignments, or campaign-defining moments since the surveys has kept implied probabilities for second place closely bunched. Scheduled debates, final-week polling, or late coalition signals before the October 4 vote could consolidate support and widen gaps among the contenders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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