Ongoing diplomatic tensions tied to Iran's nuclear program, sanctions enforcement, and regional activities continue to drive periodic expulsions of Iranian diplomats by multiple countries. The United States quietly removed several from its UN mission in late 2025 and early 2026 over national security concerns, while France conducted reciprocal expulsions in August 2026 following Iranian actions against French embassy staff. Argentina and others have taken similar steps earlier in the year. The most recent development occurred on September 14, 2026, when Austria denied a visa to Iran's nuclear chief for the IAEA General Conference under U.S. pressure linked to travel bans, prompting Iranian protests and a summons of Austria's envoy. These incidents reflect broader friction without new formal persona non grata declarations in the immediate days prior.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by...?
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?
$31,150 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
13%
October 31
45%
$31,150 Vol.
September 30
$1,163 Vol.
13%
October 31
$1,670 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing diplomatic tensions tied to Iran's nuclear program, sanctions enforcement, and regional activities continue to drive periodic expulsions of Iranian diplomats by multiple countries. The United States quietly removed several from its UN mission in late 2025 and early 2026 over national security concerns, while France conducted reciprocal expulsions in August 2026 following Iranian actions against French embassy staff. Argentina and others have taken similar steps earlier in the year. The most recent development occurred on September 14, 2026, when Austria denied a visa to Iran's nuclear chief for the IAEA General Conference under U.S. pressure linked to travel bans, prompting Iranian protests and a summons of Austria's envoy. These incidents reflect broader friction without new formal persona non grata declarations in the immediate days prior.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volume
$31,150Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing diplomatic tensions tied to Iran's nuclear program, sanctions enforcement, and regional activities continue to drive periodic expulsions of Iranian diplomats by multiple countries. The United States quietly removed several from its UN mission in late 2025 and early 2026 over national security concerns, while France conducted reciprocal expulsions in August 2026 following Iranian actions against French embassy staff. Argentina and others have taken similar steps earlier in the year. The most recent development occurred on September 14, 2026, when Austria denied a visa to Iran's nuclear chief for the IAEA General Conference under U.S. pressure linked to travel bans, prompting Iranian protests and a summons of Austria's envoy. These incidents reflect broader friction without new formal persona non grata declarations in the immediate days prior.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$31,150Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 19, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic tensions tied to Iran's nuclear program, sanctions enforcement, and regional activities continue to drive periodic expulsions of Iranian diplomats by multiple countries. The United States quietly removed several from its UN mission in late 2025 and early 2026 over national security concerns, while France conducted reciprocal expulsions in August 2026 following Iranian actions against French embassy staff. Argentina and others have taken similar steps earlier in the year. The most recent development occurred on September 14, 2026, when Austria denied a visa to Iran's nuclear chief for the IAEA General Conference under U.S. pressure linked to travel bans, prompting Iranian protests and a summons of Austria's envoy. These incidents reflect broader friction without new formal persona non grata declarations in the immediate days prior.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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