ChatGPT’s commanding 97.6% market-implied probability for the #1 free U.S. App Store spot on September 11 stems from its consistent top rankings in recent days, driven by ongoing user engagement with its large language model capabilities, a September 8 app update with bug fixes, and OpenAI’s September 10 announcement of new in-app experiences and an Apps SDK that expand functionality for free and paid users. As the leading productivity app with broad adoption, it benefits from network effects and regular feature refreshes like image generation and voice mode. A realistic challenge could arise from a sudden viral surge in another category leader, such as a seasonal sports or shopping app, or an unexpected promotional push that briefly overtakes downloads.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?
ChatGPT 100.0%
MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps <1%
Vinted <1%
7 Brew Coffee <1%
$11,991 Vol.
$11,991 Vol.
MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps
No
ChatGPT
Yes
Vinted
No
7 Brew Coffee
No
Google Gemini
No
TikTok Pro - Events
No
ESPN Fantasy Sports & More
No
ChatGPT 100.0%
MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps <1%
Vinted <1%
7 Brew Coffee <1%
$11,991 Vol.
$11,991 Vol.
MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps
No
ChatGPT
Yes
Vinted
No
7 Brew Coffee
No
Google Gemini
No
TikTok Pro - Events
No
ESPN Fantasy Sports & More
No
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
ChatGPT’s commanding 97.6% market-implied probability for the #1 free U.S. App Store spot on September 11 stems from its consistent top rankings in recent days, driven by ongoing user engagement with its large language model capabilities, a September 8 app update with bug fixes, and OpenAI’s September 10 announcement of new in-app experiences and an Apps SDK that expand functionality for free and paid users. As the leading productivity app with broad adoption, it benefits from network effects and regular feature refreshes like image generation and voice mode. A realistic challenge could arise from a sudden viral surge in another category leader, such as a seasonal sports or shopping app, or an unexpected promotional push that briefly overtakes downloads.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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