Traders see the Hodge Conjecture leading at 36.5% because its geometric and topological framing aligns with AI strengths in pattern recognition and formal verification tools like Lean, giving it an edge over Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer at 27.5%. The tight spread among top outcomes and the 18% chance of no solution by end-2027 highlight uncertainty over whether large language models or specialized theorem-proving systems can deliver the conceptual breakthroughs these problems demand. P versus NP trails at 4.2% due to its computational complexity barriers, while Riemann Hypothesis sits at 16.5%. Key differentiators include problem-specific requirements for novel mathematical insight versus incremental progress in algebraic geometry or number theory.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
Hodge Conjecture 36%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer 30%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027 18%
Riemann Hypothesis 13%
$20,732 Vol.
$20,732 Vol.
Hodge Conjecture
36%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
30%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
18%
Riemann Hypothesis
13%
P versus NP
4%
Yang-Mills
2%
Hodge Conjecture 36%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer 30%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027 18%
Riemann Hypothesis 13%
$20,732 Vol.
$20,732 Vol.
Hodge Conjecture
36%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
30%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
18%
Riemann Hypothesis
13%
P versus NP
4%
Yang-Mills
2%
If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 9, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the Hodge Conjecture leading at 36.5% because its geometric and topological framing aligns with AI strengths in pattern recognition and formal verification tools like Lean, giving it an edge over Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer at 27.5%. The tight spread among top outcomes and the 18% chance of no solution by end-2027 highlight uncertainty over whether large language models or specialized theorem-proving systems can deliver the conceptual breakthroughs these problems demand. P versus NP trails at 4.2% due to its computational complexity barriers, while Riemann Hypothesis sits at 16.5%. Key differentiators include problem-specific requirements for novel mathematical insight versus incremental progress in algebraic geometry or number theory.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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