Persistent high-pressure systems and minimal monsoon relief drove record or near-record highs of 110–117°F across Phoenix in August 2026, prompting National Weather Service Extreme Heat Warnings for multiple overlapping periods that totaled well over 20 days according to official reports. An initial stretch from late July into early August was followed by extensions from mid-August through at least August 28–29, with major-to-extreme HeatRisk levels and overnight lows rarely dropping below 90°F. Trader consensus at 93.2% Yes reflects these verified observational data and climatological patterns favoring prolonged heat. Resolution could shift only if post-season NWS verification revises the exact count of qualifying warning days below the 10-day threshold due to localized boundaries or timing adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Phoenix be under an Extreme Heat Warning for 10+ days in August 2026?
Will Phoenix be under an Extreme Heat Warning for 10+ days in August 2026?
97% โอกาส
$451 ปริมาณ
$451 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
97% โอกาส
$451 ปริมาณ
$451 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve "Yes" if an Extreme Heat Warning is in effect for NWS forecast zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix) for a cumulative total of 10 or more calendar days during August 1–31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
A calendar day counts if an Extreme Heat Warning is in effect for any portion of that day for the NWS forecast zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix). The total count of Extreme Heat Warning events for zone AZZ543 can be verified using Iowa Environmental Mesonet's NWS warning search tool at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/search.php, filtered to zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix) for the month of August.
Multiple warnings on the same day count as one day. Heat Advisories do not count.
In the event the NWS renders unavailable, resolution will be determined by observed daily high temperatures at Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport (station KPHX) as reported by NOAA's Climate Data Online (ncdc.noaa.gov) and any calendar day with an observed high of 110°F or above will count as a warning day for resolution purposes.Persistent high-pressure systems and minimal monsoon relief drove record or near-record highs of 110–117°F across Phoenix in August 2026, prompting National Weather Service Extreme Heat Warnings for multiple overlapping periods that totaled well over 20 days according to official reports. An initial stretch from late July into early August was followed by extensions from mid-August through at least August 28–29, with major-to-extreme HeatRisk levels and overnight lows rarely dropping below 90°F. Trader consensus at 93.2% Yes reflects these verified observational data and climatological patterns favoring prolonged heat. Resolution could shift only if post-season NWS verification revises the exact count of qualifying warning days below the 10-day threshold due to localized boundaries or timing adjustments.
This market will resolve "Yes" if an Extreme Heat Warning is in effect for NWS forecast zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix) for a cumulative total of 10 or more calendar days during August 1–31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
A calendar day counts if an Extreme Heat Warning is in effect for any portion of that day for the NWS forecast zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix). The total count of Extreme Heat Warning events for zone AZZ543 can be verified using Iowa Environmental Mesonet's NWS warning search tool at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/search.php, filtered to zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix) for the month of August.
Multiple warnings on the same day count as one day. Heat Advisories do not count.
In the event the NWS renders unavailable, resolution will be determined by observed daily high temperatures at Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport (station KPHX) as reported by NOAA's Climate Data Online (ncdc.noaa.gov) and any calendar day with an observed high of 110°F or above will count as a warning day for resolution purposes.
A calendar day counts if an Extreme Heat Warning is in effect for any portion of that day for the NWS forecast zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix). The total count of Extreme Heat Warning events for zone AZZ543 can be verified using Iowa Environmental Mesonet's NWS warning search tool at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/search.php, filtered to zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix) for the month of August.
Multiple warnings on the same day count as one day. Heat Advisories do not count.
In the event the NWS renders unavailable, resolution will be determined by observed daily high temperatures at Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport (station KPHX) as reported by NOAA's Climate Data Online (ncdc.noaa.gov) and any calendar day with an observed high of 110°F or above will count as a warning day for resolution purposes.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 30, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$451วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 3:12 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if an Extreme Heat Warning is in effect for NWS forecast zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix) for a cumulative total of 10 or more calendar days during August 1–31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
A calendar day counts if an Extreme Heat Warning is in effect for any portion of that day for the NWS forecast zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix). The total count of Extreme Heat Warning events for zone AZZ543 can be verified using Iowa Environmental Mesonet's NWS warning search tool at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/search.php, filtered to zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix) for the month of August.
Multiple warnings on the same day count as one day. Heat Advisories do not count.
In the event the NWS renders unavailable, resolution will be determined by observed daily high temperatures at Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport (station KPHX) as reported by NOAA's Climate Data Online (ncdc.noaa.gov) and any calendar day with an observed high of 110°F or above will count as a warning day for resolution purposes.Persistent high-pressure systems and minimal monsoon relief drove record or near-record highs of 110–117°F across Phoenix in August 2026, prompting National Weather Service Extreme Heat Warnings for multiple overlapping periods that totaled well over 20 days according to official reports. An initial stretch from late July into early August was followed by extensions from mid-August through at least August 28–29, with major-to-extreme HeatRisk levels and overnight lows rarely dropping below 90°F. Trader consensus at 93.2% Yes reflects these verified observational data and climatological patterns favoring prolonged heat. Resolution could shift only if post-season NWS verification revises the exact count of qualifying warning days below the 10-day threshold due to localized boundaries or timing adjustments.
This market will resolve "Yes" if an Extreme Heat Warning is in effect for NWS forecast zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix) for a cumulative total of 10 or more calendar days during August 1–31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
A calendar day counts if an Extreme Heat Warning is in effect for any portion of that day for the NWS forecast zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix). The total count of Extreme Heat Warning events for zone AZZ543 can be verified using Iowa Environmental Mesonet's NWS warning search tool at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/search.php, filtered to zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix) for the month of August.
Multiple warnings on the same day count as one day. Heat Advisories do not count.
In the event the NWS renders unavailable, resolution will be determined by observed daily high temperatures at Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport (station KPHX) as reported by NOAA's Climate Data Online (ncdc.noaa.gov) and any calendar day with an observed high of 110°F or above will count as a warning day for resolution purposes.
A calendar day counts if an Extreme Heat Warning is in effect for any portion of that day for the NWS forecast zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix). The total count of Extreme Heat Warning events for zone AZZ543 can be verified using Iowa Environmental Mesonet's NWS warning search tool at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/search.php, filtered to zone AZZ543 (Central Phoenix) for the month of August.
Multiple warnings on the same day count as one day. Heat Advisories do not count.
In the event the NWS renders unavailable, resolution will be determined by observed daily high temperatures at Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport (station KPHX) as reported by NOAA's Climate Data Online (ncdc.noaa.gov) and any calendar day with an observed high of 110°F or above will count as a warning day for resolution purposes.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$451วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 3:12 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Persistent high-pressure systems and minimal monsoon relief drove record or near-record highs of 110–117°F across Phoenix in August 2026, prompting National Weather Service Extreme Heat Warnings for multiple overlapping periods that totaled well over 20 days according to official reports. An initial stretch from late July into early August was followed by extensions from mid-August through at least August 28–29, with major-to-extreme HeatRisk levels and overnight lows rarely dropping below 90°F. Trader consensus at 93.2% Yes reflects these verified observational data and climatological patterns favoring prolonged heat. Resolution could shift only if post-season NWS verification revises the exact count of qualifying warning days below the 10-day threshold due to localized boundaries or timing adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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