Ongoing gray-zone military activity by Chinese forces around Taiwan, including recent drone reconnaissance during Taiwanese precision-strike drills and routine aircraft and vessel incursions, sustains pressure without crossing into preparations for imminent large-scale amphibious operations. Taiwan's August 2026 defense report assessed that the People's Liberation Army still lacks sufficient capabilities for a full invasion, including multi-axis landings and sustained logistics, with modernization timelines pointing toward potential readiness later in the decade. Diplomatic engagement, including an upcoming U.S.-China leaders' summit, combined with Taiwan's defense enhancements and U.S. security commitments, reinforces trader consensus that an invasion remains improbable before the June 2027 resolution date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว8% โอกาส
$450,597 ปริมาณ
$450,597 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
8% โอกาส
$450,597 ปริมาณ
$450,597 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing gray-zone military activity by Chinese forces around Taiwan, including recent drone reconnaissance during Taiwanese precision-strike drills and routine aircraft and vessel incursions, sustains pressure without crossing into preparations for imminent large-scale amphibious operations. Taiwan's August 2026 defense report assessed that the People's Liberation Army still lacks sufficient capabilities for a full invasion, including multi-axis landings and sustained logistics, with modernization timelines pointing toward potential readiness later in the decade. Diplomatic engagement, including an upcoming U.S.-China leaders' summit, combined with Taiwan's defense enhancements and U.S. security commitments, reinforces trader consensus that an invasion remains improbable before the June 2027 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 1, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$450,597วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 1, 2026, 12:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing gray-zone military activity by Chinese forces around Taiwan, including recent drone reconnaissance during Taiwanese precision-strike drills and routine aircraft and vessel incursions, sustains pressure without crossing into preparations for imminent large-scale amphibious operations. Taiwan's August 2026 defense report assessed that the People's Liberation Army still lacks sufficient capabilities for a full invasion, including multi-axis landings and sustained logistics, with modernization timelines pointing toward potential readiness later in the decade. Diplomatic engagement, including an upcoming U.S.-China leaders' summit, combined with Taiwan's defense enhancements and U.S. security commitments, reinforces trader consensus that an invasion remains improbable before the June 2027 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$450,597วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 1, 2026, 12:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Ongoing gray-zone military activity by Chinese forces around Taiwan, including recent drone reconnaissance during Taiwanese precision-strike drills and routine aircraft and vessel incursions, sustains pressure without crossing into preparations for imminent large-scale amphibious operations. Taiwan's August 2026 defense report assessed that the People's Liberation Army still lacks sufficient capabilities for a full invasion, including multi-axis landings and sustained logistics, with modernization timelines pointing toward potential readiness later in the decade. Diplomatic engagement, including an upcoming U.S.-China leaders' summit, combined with Taiwan's defense enhancements and U.S. security commitments, reinforces trader consensus that an invasion remains improbable before the June 2027 resolution date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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