Official Storm Prediction Center outlooks for September 29, 2026, placed a Marginal Risk of severe thunderstorms across southern Arizona, southern and eastern New Mexico, and west Texas, driven by the remnants of Hurricane Polo interacting with an approaching upper-level trough. This setup produced a moist airmass with increasing deep-layer shear and enlarged low-level hodographs, supporting isolated supercells capable of brief tornadoes despite modest buoyancy and poor lapse rates. Probabilistic tornado graphics highlighted 2% areas covering cities including Lubbock, Amarillo, Midland, and Odessa, Texas, plus Roswell, New Mexico. Forecasters noted the primary hazards as localized tornadoes and severe gusts amid widespread convection shifting toward linear modes. Updated Day 1 outlooks through the afternoon refined coverage while maintaining the conditional tornado threat into the overnight period.