Blake Moore's commanding position in the UT-02 race stems from the district's solidly Republican composition following 2025 court-ordered redistricting, which shifted boundaries to encompass northern Utah counties including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber. Moore secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 by defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the primary, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, along with a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by wide margins. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political realignment remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$15,841 ปริมาณ
$15,841 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Blake Moore (R)
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
5%
$15,841 ปริมาณ
$15,841 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Blake Moore (R)
$2,462 ปริมาณ
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
$13,379 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Blake Moore's commanding position in the UT-02 race stems from the district's solidly Republican composition following 2025 court-ordered redistricting, which shifted boundaries to encompass northern Utah counties including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber. Moore secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 by defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the primary, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, along with a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by wide margins. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political realignment remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,841วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Blake Moore's commanding position in the UT-02 race stems from the district's solidly Republican composition following 2025 court-ordered redistricting, which shifted boundaries to encompass northern Utah counties including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber. Moore secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 by defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the primary, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, along with a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by wide margins. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political realignment remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,841วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Blake Moore's commanding position in the UT-02 race stems from the district's solidly Republican composition following 2025 court-ordered redistricting, which shifted boundaries to encompass northern Utah counties including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber. Moore secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 by defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the primary, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, along with a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by wide margins. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political realignment remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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