Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and current Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 86.5% implied probability in the market for the November 28, 2026, county magistrate election. This positioning stems from the KMT’s long-standing structural dominance in Taitung, her institutional role succeeding term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling, and the party’s early December 2025 nomination. DPP nominee Chen Ying, a sitting legislator with indigenous Puyuma heritage, trails at 9.6% amid a smaller share of the electorate and limited polling momentum. Independent candidates including Li Wu Ying-chih register near zero. Recent developments such as September 2026 reports of a road-widening investigation tied to Wu’s family and cross-party visits by President Lai Ching-te have not shifted trader consensus away from the KMT’s historical edge in this open-seat contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWu Hsiu-hua 87%
Chen Ying 9.6%
Li Wu Ying-chih <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2027
Wu Hsiu-hua
87%
Chen Ying
10%
Li Wu Ying-chih
<1%
Wu Hsiu-hua 87%
Chen Ying 9.6%
Li Wu Ying-chih <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2027
Wu Hsiu-hua
$4,157 ปริมาณ
87%
Chen Ying
$4,238 ปริมาณ
10%
Li Wu Ying-chih
$1,124 ปริมาณ
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and current Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 86.5% implied probability in the market for the November 28, 2026, county magistrate election. This positioning stems from the KMT’s long-standing structural dominance in Taitung, her institutional role succeeding term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling, and the party’s early December 2025 nomination. DPP nominee Chen Ying, a sitting legislator with indigenous Puyuma heritage, trails at 9.6% amid a smaller share of the electorate and limited polling momentum. Independent candidates including Li Wu Ying-chih register near zero. Recent developments such as September 2026 reports of a road-widening investigation tied to Wu’s family and cross-party visits by President Lai Ching-te have not shifted trader consensus away from the KMT’s historical edge in this open-seat contest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,519วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and current Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 86.5% implied probability in the market for the November 28, 2026, county magistrate election. This positioning stems from the KMT’s long-standing structural dominance in Taitung, her institutional role succeeding term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling, and the party’s early December 2025 nomination. DPP nominee Chen Ying, a sitting legislator with indigenous Puyuma heritage, trails at 9.6% amid a smaller share of the electorate and limited polling momentum. Independent candidates including Li Wu Ying-chih register near zero. Recent developments such as September 2026 reports of a road-widening investigation tied to Wu’s family and cross-party visits by President Lai Ching-te have not shifted trader consensus away from the KMT’s historical edge in this open-seat contest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,519วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and current Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 86.5% implied probability in the market for the November 28, 2026, county magistrate election. This positioning stems from the KMT’s long-standing structural dominance in Taitung, her institutional role succeeding term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling, and the party’s early December 2025 nomination. DPP nominee Chen Ying, a sitting legislator with indigenous Puyuma heritage, trails at 9.6% amid a smaller share of the electorate and limited polling momentum. Independent candidates including Li Wu Ying-chih register near zero. Recent developments such as September 2026 reports of a road-widening investigation tied to Wu’s family and cross-party visits by President Lai Ching-te have not shifted trader consensus away from the KMT’s historical edge in this open-seat contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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