Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent seeking re-election on November 28, 2026, holds an 87.5% implied probability in the Pingtung County magistrate market, reflecting trader consensus on her structural advantages in a county with longstanding DPP support. Her position draws from a solid record of attracting technology investments, expanding social programs, and recent high satisfaction ratings, including a national fourth-place ranking in September 2026 surveys. The Kuomintang challenger, Su Ching-chuan, trails at 12% amid a June 2026 indictment tied to building violations in a 2024 hospital fire case that killed nine people, which has weighed on his rematch campaign despite emphasis on healthcare and infrastructure. No significant third-party entrants have emerged to alter the dynamics ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2027
Chou Chun-mi
88%
Su Ching-chuan
12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2027
Chou Chun-mi
$2,280 ปริมาณ
88%
Su Ching-chuan
$2,577 ปริมาณ
12%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent seeking re-election on November 28, 2026, holds an 87.5% implied probability in the Pingtung County magistrate market, reflecting trader consensus on her structural advantages in a county with longstanding DPP support. Her position draws from a solid record of attracting technology investments, expanding social programs, and recent high satisfaction ratings, including a national fourth-place ranking in September 2026 surveys. The Kuomintang challenger, Su Ching-chuan, trails at 12% amid a June 2026 indictment tied to building violations in a 2024 hospital fire case that killed nine people, which has weighed on his rematch campaign despite emphasis on healthcare and infrastructure. No significant third-party entrants have emerged to alter the dynamics ahead of the vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,857วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent seeking re-election on November 28, 2026, holds an 87.5% implied probability in the Pingtung County magistrate market, reflecting trader consensus on her structural advantages in a county with longstanding DPP support. Her position draws from a solid record of attracting technology investments, expanding social programs, and recent high satisfaction ratings, including a national fourth-place ranking in September 2026 surveys. The Kuomintang challenger, Su Ching-chuan, trails at 12% amid a June 2026 indictment tied to building violations in a 2024 hospital fire case that killed nine people, which has weighed on his rematch campaign despite emphasis on healthcare and infrastructure. No significant third-party entrants have emerged to alter the dynamics ahead of the vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,857วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent seeking re-election on November 28, 2026, holds an 87.5% implied probability in the Pingtung County magistrate market, reflecting trader consensus on her structural advantages in a county with longstanding DPP support. Her position draws from a solid record of attracting technology investments, expanding social programs, and recent high satisfaction ratings, including a national fourth-place ranking in September 2026 surveys. The Kuomintang challenger, Su Ching-chuan, trails at 12% amid a June 2026 indictment tied to building violations in a 2024 hospital fire case that killed nine people, which has weighed on his rematch campaign despite emphasis on healthcare and infrastructure. No significant third-party entrants have emerged to alter the dynamics ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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