Recent flash drought intensification across the South-Central and Central U.S., driven by persistent hot and dry conditions from Texas through Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Arkansas, and into parts of Tennessee and the Mississippi Valley, has positioned 10 or more states in D4 (Exceptional Drought) as the leading market outcome at 57.5% implied probability. U.S. Drought Monitor data valid through early September show D4 covering 1.4% of the contiguous U.S., with degradations expanding in the central Plains and border regions like North Dakota–South Dakota–Minnesota, while some relief occurred in Colorado and Wyoming. These short-term precipitation deficits and above-normal temperatures have intensified long-term western drought signals, pushing more states over exceptional thresholds on the USDM scale. The next weekly map release, incorporating the latest NOAA and NDMC assessments, remains the key near-term catalyst for trader adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
10 or more states 57%
1-2 states 37%
3-4 states 34%
5-6 states 33%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
0 states
1%
1-2 states
37%
3-4 states
34%
5-6 states
33%
7-9 states
32%
10 or more states
57%
10 or more states 57%
1-2 states 37%
3-4 states 34%
5-6 states 33%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
0 states
$51 ปริมาณ
1%
1-2 states
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
3-4 states
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
5-6 states
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
7-9 states
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
10 or more states
$0 ปริมาณ
57%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Recent flash drought intensification across the South-Central and Central U.S., driven by persistent hot and dry conditions from Texas through Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Arkansas, and into parts of Tennessee and the Mississippi Valley, has positioned 10 or more states in D4 (Exceptional Drought) as the leading market outcome at 57.5% implied probability. U.S. Drought Monitor data valid through early September show D4 covering 1.4% of the contiguous U.S., with degradations expanding in the central Plains and border regions like North Dakota–South Dakota–Minnesota, while some relief occurred in Colorado and Wyoming. These short-term precipitation deficits and above-normal temperatures have intensified long-term western drought signals, pushing more states over exceptional thresholds on the USDM scale. The next weekly map release, incorporating the latest NOAA and NDMC assessments, remains the key near-term catalyst for trader adjustments.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.Recent flash drought intensification across the South-Central and Central U.S., driven by persistent hot and dry conditions from Texas through Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Arkansas, and into parts of Tennessee and the Mississippi Valley, has positioned 10 or more states in D4 (Exceptional Drought) as the leading market outcome at 57.5% implied probability. U.S. Drought Monitor data valid through early September show D4 covering 1.4% of the contiguous U.S., with degradations expanding in the central Plains and border regions like North Dakota–South Dakota–Minnesota, while some relief occurred in Colorado and Wyoming. These short-term precipitation deficits and above-normal temperatures have intensified long-term western drought signals, pushing more states over exceptional thresholds on the USDM scale. The next weekly map release, incorporating the latest NOAA and NDMC assessments, remains the key near-term catalyst for trader adjustments.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent flash drought intensification across the South-Central and Central U.S., driven by persistent hot and dry conditions from Texas through Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Arkansas, and into parts of Tennessee and the Mississippi Valley, has positioned 10 or more states in D4 (Exceptional Drought) as the leading market outcome at 57.5% implied probability. U.S. Drought Monitor data valid through early September show D4 covering 1.4% of the contiguous U.S., with degradations expanding in the central Plains and border regions like North Dakota–South Dakota–Minnesota, while some relief occurred in Colorado and Wyoming. These short-term precipitation deficits and above-normal temperatures have intensified long-term western drought signals, pushing more states over exceptional thresholds on the USDM scale. The next weekly map release, incorporating the latest NOAA and NDMC assessments, remains the key near-term catalyst for trader adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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