Maggie Goodlander, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in the NH-02 general election after securing her party's nomination with roughly 81% of the primary vote on September 8. The district's consistent Democratic lean, combined with her established fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus around a high probability of victory against Republican Lily Tang Williams, who won her primary but trails in head-to-head polling. This rematch follows Goodlander's narrower 2024 win, yet current indicators including Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and recent surveys showing double-digit leads reinforce the market's assessment. Late-cycle shifts in national conditions, turnout among independents, or unforeseen developments could still narrow the margin before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$16,708 ปริมาณ
$16,708 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Maggie Goodlander (D)
93%
Lily Tang Williams (R)
7%
$16,708 ปริมาณ
$16,708 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Maggie Goodlander (D)
$7,868 ปริมาณ
93%
Lily Tang Williams (R)
$8,840 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maggie Goodlander, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in the NH-02 general election after securing her party's nomination with roughly 81% of the primary vote on September 8. The district's consistent Democratic lean, combined with her established fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus around a high probability of victory against Republican Lily Tang Williams, who won her primary but trails in head-to-head polling. This rematch follows Goodlander's narrower 2024 win, yet current indicators including Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and recent surveys showing double-digit leads reinforce the market's assessment. Late-cycle shifts in national conditions, turnout among independents, or unforeseen developments could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,708วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maggie Goodlander, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in the NH-02 general election after securing her party's nomination with roughly 81% of the primary vote on September 8. The district's consistent Democratic lean, combined with her established fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus around a high probability of victory against Republican Lily Tang Williams, who won her primary but trails in head-to-head polling. This rematch follows Goodlander's narrower 2024 win, yet current indicators including Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and recent surveys showing double-digit leads reinforce the market's assessment. Late-cycle shifts in national conditions, turnout among independents, or unforeseen developments could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,708วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Maggie Goodlander, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in the NH-02 general election after securing her party's nomination with roughly 81% of the primary vote on September 8. The district's consistent Democratic lean, combined with her established fundraising and name recognition, underpins trader consensus around a high probability of victory against Republican Lily Tang Williams, who won her primary but trails in head-to-head polling. This rematch follows Goodlander's narrower 2024 win, yet current indicators including Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and recent surveys showing double-digit leads reinforce the market's assessment. Late-cycle shifts in national conditions, turnout among independents, or unforeseen developments could still narrow the margin before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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