The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades near 5.00%, up roughly 80 basis points since late February amid resilient U.S. growth, elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and a higher term premium. The Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to hike the federal funds rate 25 basis points to the 3.75–4.00% range, citing strong economic momentum, AI-driven capital expenditures, and geopolitical pressures, has reinforced market-implied expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Fiscal supply pressures from large deficits and corporate borrowing further support elevated real yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the October 27–28 FOMC meeting, September CPI and employment data, and Q3 GDP, which could shift rate expectations and influence whether yields test lower levels before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$286,092 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
Below 3.9%
3%
Below 3.8%
2%
Below 3.7%
3%
Below 3.6%
2%
Below 3.5%
2%
Below 3.0%
1%
Below 2.0%
2%
Below 1.0%
1%
$286,092 ปริมาณ
Below 3.9%
$54,748 ปริมาณ
3%
Below 3.8%
$62,740 ปริมาณ
2%
Below 3.7%
$35,630 ปริมาณ
3%
Below 3.6%
$8,903 ปริมาณ
2%
Below 3.5%
$43,095 ปริมาณ
2%
Below 3.0%
$7,958 ปริมาณ
1%
Below 2.0%
$564 ปริมาณ
2%
Below 1.0%
$40,696 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades near 5.00%, up roughly 80 basis points since late February amid resilient U.S. growth, elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and a higher term premium. The Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to hike the federal funds rate 25 basis points to the 3.75–4.00% range, citing strong economic momentum, AI-driven capital expenditures, and geopolitical pressures, has reinforced market-implied expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Fiscal supply pressures from large deficits and corporate borrowing further support elevated real yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the October 27–28 FOMC meeting, September CPI and employment data, and Q3 GDP, which could shift rate expectations and influence whether yields test lower levels before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$286,092วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades near 5.00%, up roughly 80 basis points since late February amid resilient U.S. growth, elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and a higher term premium. The Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to hike the federal funds rate 25 basis points to the 3.75–4.00% range, citing strong economic momentum, AI-driven capital expenditures, and geopolitical pressures, has reinforced market-implied expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Fiscal supply pressures from large deficits and corporate borrowing further support elevated real yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the October 27–28 FOMC meeting, September CPI and employment data, and Q3 GDP, which could shift rate expectations and influence whether yields test lower levels before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$286,092วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades near 5.00%, up roughly 80 basis points since late February amid resilient U.S. growth, elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, and a higher term premium. The Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to hike the federal funds rate 25 basis points to the 3.75–4.00% range, citing strong economic momentum, AI-driven capital expenditures, and geopolitical pressures, has reinforced market-implied expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path. Fiscal supply pressures from large deficits and corporate borrowing further support elevated real yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the October 27–28 FOMC meeting, September CPI and employment data, and Q3 GDP, which could shift rate expectations and influence whether yields test lower levels before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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