Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate a high near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on September 11 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow typical of early September Mediterranean conditions. This consensus supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C, consistent with historical late-summer maxima and the absence of heat-wave signals or anomalous warming. Minor model spread around 30–33°C accounts for the smaller probabilities on adjacent outcomes, while probabilities below 30°C or above 33°C remain negligible given current atmospheric patterns and low precipitation risk. Updated runs ahead of the observation window will refine any small deviations from this range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
32°C 70%
31°C 17%
33°C 15%
30°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
70%
33°C
15%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 70%
31°C 17%
33°C 15%
30°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
28°C or below
$470 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$229 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$279 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$636 ปริมาณ
17%
32°C
$477 ปริมาณ
70%
33°C
$501 ปริมาณ
15%
34°C
$228 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$418 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$379 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$230 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$230 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate a high near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on September 11 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow typical of early September Mediterranean conditions. This consensus supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C, consistent with historical late-summer maxima and the absence of heat-wave signals or anomalous warming. Minor model spread around 30–33°C accounts for the smaller probabilities on adjacent outcomes, while probabilities below 30°C or above 33°C remain negligible given current atmospheric patterns and low precipitation risk. Updated runs ahead of the observation window will refine any small deviations from this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,077วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate a high near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on September 11 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow typical of early September Mediterranean conditions. This consensus supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C, consistent with historical late-summer maxima and the absence of heat-wave signals or anomalous warming. Minor model spread around 30–33°C accounts for the smaller probabilities on adjacent outcomes, while probabilities below 30°C or above 33°C remain negligible given current atmospheric patterns and low precipitation risk. Updated runs ahead of the observation window will refine any small deviations from this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,077วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate a high near 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on September 11 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow typical of early September Mediterranean conditions. This consensus supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C, consistent with historical late-summer maxima and the absence of heat-wave signals or anomalous warming. Minor model spread around 30–33°C accounts for the smaller probabilities on adjacent outcomes, while probabilities below 30°C or above 33°C remain negligible given current atmospheric patterns and low precipitation risk. Updated runs ahead of the observation window will refine any small deviations from this range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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