**Trader consensus on the 66-67°F bin for Seattle’s September 15 high reflects verified observational data from primary stations such as Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and seasonal Pacific Northwest autumn conditions produced a daytime maximum of 67°F and overnight low near 57°F, aligning precisely with National Weather Service and cooperative observer reports. This outcome sits slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of about 71°F for the date, consistent with cooler recent patterns following earlier September variability. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate traders’ confidence in the post-event data release, as forecast models converged on this narrow range days ahead. Only station-specific microclimate differences or rare reporting revisions could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given multiple confirming sources.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on September 15?
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$33,875 ปริมาณ
$33,875 ปริมาณ
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$33,875 ปริมาณ
$33,875 ปริมาณ
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader consensus on the 66-67°F bin for Seattle’s September 15 high reflects verified observational data from primary stations such as Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and seasonal Pacific Northwest autumn conditions produced a daytime maximum of 67°F and overnight low near 57°F, aligning precisely with National Weather Service and cooperative observer reports. This outcome sits slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of about 71°F for the date, consistent with cooler recent patterns following earlier September variability. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate traders’ confidence in the post-event data release, as forecast models converged on this narrow range days ahead. Only station-specific microclimate differences or rare reporting revisions could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given multiple confirming sources.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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