**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and meteorological models points to a daily high near 99°F in Austin on September 19 under mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds.** This places the outcome firmly in the market-leading 98–99°F bin (53% implied probability), with the 96–97°F range a close second. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have maintained above-average warmth, exceeding the September 19 climatological mean of roughly 90°F, while minimal cloud cover and negligible rain chances allow strong daytime insolation. Afternoon observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will determine the exact peak; any unexpected increase in boundary-layer moisture or thin cirrus could trim the high by 1–2°F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on September 19?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 19?
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 42%
100-101°F 5%
94-95°F 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
42%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 42%
100-101°F 5%
94-95°F 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
87°F or below
$111 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$149 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$159 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$267 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$725 ปริมาณ
3%
96-97°F
$1,220 ปริมาณ
42%
98-99°F
$1,582 ปริมาณ
54%
100-101°F
$723 ปริมาณ
5%
102-103°F
$332 ปริมาณ
1%
104-105°F
$589 ปริมาณ
1%
106°F or higher
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and meteorological models points to a daily high near 99°F in Austin on September 19 under mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds.** This places the outcome firmly in the market-leading 98–99°F bin (53% implied probability), with the 96–97°F range a close second. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have maintained above-average warmth, exceeding the September 19 climatological mean of roughly 90°F, while minimal cloud cover and negligible rain chances allow strong daytime insolation. Afternoon observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will determine the exact peak; any unexpected increase in boundary-layer moisture or thin cirrus could trim the high by 1–2°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,889วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and meteorological models points to a daily high near 99°F in Austin on September 19 under mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds.** This places the outcome firmly in the market-leading 98–99°F bin (53% implied probability), with the 96–97°F range a close second. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have maintained above-average warmth, exceeding the September 19 climatological mean of roughly 90°F, while minimal cloud cover and negligible rain chances allow strong daytime insolation. Afternoon observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will determine the exact peak; any unexpected increase in boundary-layer moisture or thin cirrus could trim the high by 1–2°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,889วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and meteorological models points to a daily high near 99°F in Austin on September 19 under mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds.** This places the outcome firmly in the market-leading 98–99°F bin (53% implied probability), with the 96–97°F range a close second. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have maintained above-average warmth, exceeding the September 19 climatological mean of roughly 90°F, while minimal cloud cover and negligible rain chances allow strong daytime insolation. Afternoon observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will determine the exact peak; any unexpected increase in boundary-layer moisture or thin cirrus could trim the high by 1–2°F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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