Forecast models for Munich on September 11 show a daytime high centered near 19–20°C, with limited solar heating from widespread cloud cover and light northwesterly winds under a weak pressure gradient. These conditions reduce surface insolation and vertical mixing, keeping maxima close to or slightly below the 1991–2020 average of 20.3°C. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and DWD runs highlight modest uncertainty in peak values, driven by small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Trader consensus clusters on 19–20°C outcomes because recent model updates have converged on overcast skies and stable air masses rather than clearer, warmer scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on September 11?
19°C 29%
20°C 27%
21°C or higher 21%
18°C 17%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
17%
19°C
29%
20°C
27%
21°C or higher
21%
19°C 29%
20°C 27%
21°C or higher 21%
18°C 17%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
17%
19°C
29%
20°C
27%
21°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Munich on September 11 show a daytime high centered near 19–20°C, with limited solar heating from widespread cloud cover and light northwesterly winds under a weak pressure gradient. These conditions reduce surface insolation and vertical mixing, keeping maxima close to or slightly below the 1991–2020 average of 20.3°C. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and DWD runs highlight modest uncertainty in peak values, driven by small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Trader consensus clusters on 19–20°C outcomes because recent model updates have converged on overcast skies and stable air masses rather than clearer, warmer scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย