**Forecast consensus from official and model sources points to a daily maximum of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 22, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around 17°C (44%) and 18°C (27%).** Mild southerly flow and above-normal warmth from an intermediate pressure ridge have kept daytime temperatures 2–3°C above the late-September climatological average of roughly 13–15°C. Multiple runs, including those referenced by Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and Meteonosti, show afternoon peaks near 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered light rain or showers that limit stronger heating. Model spread remains modest, with some guidance briefly touching 20°C while others cap the day at 16–17°C depending on cloud cover and timing of any showers. Light winds (generally under 12–15 km/h) favor localized warming but are insufficient for larger deviations. As real-time observations accumulate throughout the day, the market-implied probabilities will continue to reflect the narrowing range between these forecast outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
17°C 45%
18°C 25%
16°C 21%
19°C 9%
$20,378 ปริมาณ
$20,378 ปริมาณ
Sep 22, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
21%
17°C
45%
18°C
25%
19°C
9%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 45%
18°C 25%
16°C 21%
19°C 9%
$20,378 ปริมาณ
$20,378 ปริมาณ
Sep 22, 2026
11°C or below
$75 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$111 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$390 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$625 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$1,421 ปริมาณ
3%
16°C
$1,644 ปริมาณ
21%
17°C
$3,083 ปริมาณ
45%
18°C
$10,191 ปริมาณ
25%
19°C
$1,904 ปริมาณ
9%
20°C
$572 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C or higher
$362 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official and model sources points to a daily maximum of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 22, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around 17°C (44%) and 18°C (27%).** Mild southerly flow and above-normal warmth from an intermediate pressure ridge have kept daytime temperatures 2–3°C above the late-September climatological average of roughly 13–15°C. Multiple runs, including those referenced by Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and Meteonosti, show afternoon peaks near 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered light rain or showers that limit stronger heating.
Model spread remains modest, with some guidance briefly touching 20°C while others cap the day at 16–17°C depending on cloud cover and timing of any showers. Light winds (generally under 12–15 km/h) favor localized warming but are insufficient for larger deviations. As real-time observations accumulate throughout the day, the market-implied probabilities will continue to reflect the narrowing range between these forecast outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,378วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official and model sources points to a daily maximum of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 22, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around 17°C (44%) and 18°C (27%).** Mild southerly flow and above-normal warmth from an intermediate pressure ridge have kept daytime temperatures 2–3°C above the late-September climatological average of roughly 13–15°C. Multiple runs, including those referenced by Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and Meteonosti, show afternoon peaks near 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered light rain or showers that limit stronger heating.
Model spread remains modest, with some guidance briefly touching 20°C while others cap the day at 16–17°C depending on cloud cover and timing of any showers. Light winds (generally under 12–15 km/h) favor localized warming but are insufficient for larger deviations. As real-time observations accumulate throughout the day, the market-implied probabilities will continue to reflect the narrowing range between these forecast outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,378วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official and model sources points to a daily maximum of 17–19°C in Moscow on September 22, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around 17°C (44%) and 18°C (27%).** Mild southerly flow and above-normal warmth from an intermediate pressure ridge have kept daytime temperatures 2–3°C above the late-September climatological average of roughly 13–15°C. Multiple runs, including those referenced by Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and Meteonosti, show afternoon peaks near 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered light rain or showers that limit stronger heating. Model spread remains modest, with some guidance briefly touching 20°C while others cap the day at 16–17°C depending on cloud cover and timing of any showers. Light winds (generally under 12–15 km/h) favor localized warming but are insufficient for larger deviations. As real-time observations accumulate throughout the day, the market-implied probabilities will continue to reflect the narrowing range between these forecast outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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