Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF project a September 17 high in Madrid near 26°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds of 5–10 m/s, consistent with the historical average of 26.2°C for the date. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C because minor differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or wind gusts can alter peak heating by 1–2°C in Madrid’s continental climate, where clear conditions favor stronger insolation. Current runs show limited model spread and no significant frontal systems, keeping lower or higher outcomes at minimal implied probability. Updated model guidance tonight and official AEMET observations tomorrow will resolve the exact maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on September 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 17?
27°C 35%
26°C 29%
28°C 23%
25°C 15%
ใหม่
$18,621 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$18,621 ปริมาณ
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
15%
26°C
29%
27°C
35%
28°C
23%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 35%
26°C 29%
28°C 23%
25°C 15%
ใหม่
$18,621 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$18,621 ปริมาณ
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$843 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$503 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$568 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$406 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$3,603 ปริมาณ
15%
26°C
$4,502 ปริมาณ
29%
27°C
$2,914 ปริมาณ
35%
28°C
$3,416 ปริมาณ
23%
29°C
$782 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$364 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$721 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF project a September 17 high in Madrid near 26°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds of 5–10 m/s, consistent with the historical average of 26.2°C for the date. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C because minor differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or wind gusts can alter peak heating by 1–2°C in Madrid’s continental climate, where clear conditions favor stronger insolation. Current runs show limited model spread and no significant frontal systems, keeping lower or higher outcomes at minimal implied probability. Updated model guidance tonight and official AEMET observations tomorrow will resolve the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,621วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF project a September 17 high in Madrid near 26°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds of 5–10 m/s, consistent with the historical average of 26.2°C for the date. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C because minor differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or wind gusts can alter peak heating by 1–2°C in Madrid’s continental climate, where clear conditions favor stronger insolation. Current runs show limited model spread and no significant frontal systems, keeping lower or higher outcomes at minimal implied probability. Updated model guidance tonight and official AEMET observations tomorrow will resolve the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,621วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF project a September 17 high in Madrid near 26°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds of 5–10 m/s, consistent with the historical average of 26.2°C for the date. Trader consensus clusters on 26–28°C because minor differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or wind gusts can alter peak heating by 1–2°C in Madrid’s continental climate, where clear conditions favor stronger insolation. Current runs show limited model spread and no significant frontal systems, keeping lower or higher outcomes at minimal implied probability. Updated model guidance tonight and official AEMET observations tomorrow will resolve the exact maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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