**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 97°F on September 18, 2026, establishing the market-implied outcome with near-certainty.** Persistent unseasonable warmth across central Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge and above-normal 500-hPa heights, produced afternoon temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 90.5°F. Multiple forecast models and real-time mesonet data converged on a peak in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, preventing both stronger mixing that could have elevated readings and any convective cooling. While station-to-station variations (such as between Bergstrom and Camp Mabry) or minor sensor calibration differences could theoretically shift the exact bin, the official record and supporting surface observations leave little realistic room for outcomes outside 96–97°F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on September 18?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 18?
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$34,570 ปริมาณ
$34,570 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
Yes
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$34,570 ปริมาณ
$34,570 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
87°F or below
$2,775 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$2,515 ปริมาณ
No
90-91°F
$737 ปริมาณ
No
92-93°F
$5,272 ปริมาณ
No
94-95°F
$5,429 ปริมาณ
No
96-97°F
$7,793 ปริมาณ
Yes
98-99°F
$6,420 ปริมาณ
No
100-101°F
$2,281 ปริมาณ
No
102-103°F
$576 ปริมาณ
No
104-105°F
$311 ปริมาณ
No
106°F or higher
$461 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 97°F on September 18, 2026, establishing the market-implied outcome with near-certainty.** Persistent unseasonable warmth across central Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge and above-normal 500-hPa heights, produced afternoon temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 90.5°F. Multiple forecast models and real-time mesonet data converged on a peak in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, preventing both stronger mixing that could have elevated readings and any convective cooling. While station-to-station variations (such as between Bergstrom and Camp Mabry) or minor sensor calibration differences could theoretically shift the exact bin, the official record and supporting surface observations leave little realistic room for outcomes outside 96–97°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,570วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 97°F on September 18, 2026, establishing the market-implied outcome with near-certainty.** Persistent unseasonable warmth across central Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge and above-normal 500-hPa heights, produced afternoon temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 90.5°F. Multiple forecast models and real-time mesonet data converged on a peak in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, preventing both stronger mixing that could have elevated readings and any convective cooling. While station-to-station variations (such as between Bergstrom and Camp Mabry) or minor sensor calibration differences could theoretically shift the exact bin, the official record and supporting surface observations leave little realistic room for outcomes outside 96–97°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,570วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Official National Weather Service observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 97°F on September 18, 2026, establishing the market-implied outcome with near-certainty.** Persistent unseasonable warmth across central Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge and above-normal 500-hPa heights, produced afternoon temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 90.5°F. Multiple forecast models and real-time mesonet data converged on a peak in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds, preventing both stronger mixing that could have elevated readings and any convective cooling. While station-to-station variations (such as between Bergstrom and Camp Mabry) or minor sensor calibration differences could theoretically shift the exact bin, the official record and supporting surface observations leave little realistic room for outcomes outside 96–97°F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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